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Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

Choice modeling is at the core of understanding how changes to the competitive landscape affect consumer choices and reshape market equilibria. In this paper, we propose a fundamental characterization of choice functions that encompasses a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-21 Amandeep Singh , Ye Liu , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Interest has been growing in decision-focused machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Carlos Patiño , Yewon Byun , Steven Wu , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Two-sided matching markets describe a large class of problems wherein participants from one side of the market must be matched to those from the other side according to their preferences. In many real-world applications (e.g. content…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Hadi Hosseini , Sanjukta Roy , Duohan Zhang

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Learning customer preferences from an observed behaviour is an important topic in the marketing literature. Structural models typically model forward-looking customers or firms as utility-maximizing agents whose utility is estimated using…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-14 Igor Halperin

We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-03-17 Alexander M. G. Cox , David Hobson , Jan Obloj

We consider a learning problem for the stable marriage model under unknown preferences for the left side of the market. We focus on the centralized case, where at each time step, an online platform matches the agents, and obtains a noisy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Andreas Athanasopoulos , Anne-Marie George , Christos Dimitrakakis

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

We provide sufficient conditions under which a utility function may be recovered from a finite choice experiment. Identification, as is commonly understood in decision theory, is not enough. We provide a general recoverability result that…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-30 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Nicolas S. Lambert

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

Estimating consumer preferences is central to many problems in economics and marketing. This paper develops a flexible framework for learning individual preferences from partial ranking information by interpreting observed rankings as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Yu-Chang Chen , Chen Chian Fuh , Shang En Tsai

Results from the communication complexity literature have demonstrated that stable matching requires communication: one cannot find or verify a stable match without having access to essentially all of the ordinal preference information held…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-09 Naveen Durvasula

We consider the problem of forecasting the aggregate demand of a pool of price-responsive consumers of electricity. The price-response of the aggregation is modeled by an optimization problem that is characterized by a set of marginal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-07-26 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales

Matching plays a vital role in the rational allocation of resources in many areas, ranging from market operation to people's daily lives. In economics, the term matching theory is coined for pairing two agents in a specific market to reach…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Jing Ren , Feng Xia , Xiangtai Chen , Jiaying Liu , Mingliang Hou , Ahsan Shehzad , Nargiz Sultanova , Xiangjie Kong

This paper describes a numerical method to solve for mean product qualities which equates the real market share to the market share predicted by a discrete choice model. The method covers a general class of discrete choice model, including…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-02-28 Lixiong Li

Recommendation for e-commerce with a mix of durable and nondurable goods has characteristics that distinguish it from the well-studied media recommendation problem. The demand for items is a combined effect of form utility and time utility,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-28 Jinfeng Yi , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Kush Varshney , Lijun Zhang , Yao Li
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