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This paper presents a novel distribution-agnostic Wasserstein distance-based estimation framework. The goal is to determine an optimal map combining prior estimate with measurement likelihood such that posterior estimation error optimally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-22 Himanshu Prabhat , Raktim Bhattacharya

In this paper, we consider the beta prime regression model recently proposed by \cite{bour18}, which is tailored to situations where the response is continuous and restricted to the positive real line with skewed and long tails and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-28 Francisco M. C. Medeiros , Mariana C. Araújo , Marcelo Bourguignon

Principal component analysis is a simple yet useful dimensionality reduction technique in modern machine learning pipelines. In consequential domains such as college admission, healthcare and credit approval, it is imperative to take into…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-08 Hieu Vu , Toan Tran , Man-Chung Yue , Viet Anh Nguyen

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

Mixture autoregressive (MAR) models provide a flexible way to model time series with predictive distributions which depend on the recent history of the process and are able to accommodate asymmetry and multimodality. Bayesian inference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-22 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. It is assumed that the pre-change distribution is known (accurately estimated), while the only information about the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-29 Liyan Xie , Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

This paper proposes a novel non-parametric multidimensional convex regression estimator which is designed to be robust to adversarial perturbations in the empirical measure. We minimize over convex functions the maximum (over Wasserstein…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Jun Yan , Zhengqing Zhou

Performativity means that the deployment of a predictive model incentivizes agents to strategically adapt their behavior, thereby inducing a model-dependent distribution shift. Practitioners often repeatedly retrain the model on data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-09 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

Machine learning models are increasingly used in critical decision-making applications. However, these models are susceptible to replicating or even amplifying bias present in real-world data. While there are various bias mitigation methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Shih-Chi Ma , Tatiana Ermakova , Benjamin Fabian

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Machine learning algorithms are extensively used to make increasingly more consequential decisions about people, so achieving optimal predictive performance can no longer be the only focus. A particularly important consideration is fairness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Giulio Morina , Viktoriia Oliinyk , Julian Waton , Ines Marusic , Konstantinos Georgatzis

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

This paper presents Sparse Partitioning, a Bayesian method for identifying predictors that either individually or in combination with others affect a response variable. The method is designed for regression problems involving binary or…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-08-31 Doug Speed , Simon Tavaré

As machine learning is increasingly used to make real-world decisions, recent research efforts aim to define and ensure fairness in algorithmic decision making. Existing methods often assume a fixed set of observable features to define…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 YooJung Choi , Golnoosh Farnadi , Behrouz Babaki , Guy Van den Broeck

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

With the rise in edge-computing devices, there has been an increasing demand to deploy energy and resource-efficient models. A large body of research has been devoted to developing methods that can reduce the size of the model considerably…

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

Evolutionary algorithms (EAs) are promising approaches for non-differentiable or strongly multimodal topology optimization problems, but they often suffer from the curse of dimensionality, generally leading to low-resolution optimized…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-06 Taisei Kii , Kentaro Yaji , Hiroshi Teramoto , Kikuo Fujita

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

This paper studies the expected optimal value of a mixed 0-1 programming problem with uncertain objective coefficients following a joint distribution. We assume that the true distribution is not known exactly, but a set of independent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-08-28 Guanglin Xu , Samuel Burer
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