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In empirical studies, the data usually don't include all the variables of interest in an economic model. This paper shows the identification of unobserved variables in observations at the population level. When the observables are distinct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-07 Yingyao Hu

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

Off-policy evaluation of sequential decision policies from observational data is necessary in applications of batch reinforcement learning such as education and healthcare. In such settings, however, unobserved variables confound observed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-14 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

Time Series Forecasting has been an active area of research due to its many applications ranging from network usage prediction, resource allocation, anomaly detection, and predictive maintenance. Numerous publications published in the last…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Aryan Jadon , Avinash Patil , Shruti Jadon

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Off-policy evaluation is critical in a number of applications where new policies need to be evaluated offline before online deployment. Most existing methods focus on the expected return, define the target parameter through averaging and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Yingying Zhang , Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

Many reinforcement learning algorithms, particularly those that rely on return estimates for policy improvement, can suffer from poor sample efficiency and training instability due to high-variance return estimates. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Alexander W. Goodall , Edwin Hamel-De le Court , Francesco Belardinelli

In several applications of automatic diagnosis and active learning a central problem is the evaluation of a discrete function by adaptively querying the values of its variables until the values read uniquely determine the value of the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Ferdinando Cicalese , Eduardo Laber , Aline Medeiros Saettler

This paper discusses the problem of causal query in observational data with hidden variables, with the aim of seeking the change of an outcome when "manipulating" a variable while given a set of plausible confounding variables which affect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Le

Good quality explanations strengthen the understanding of language models and data. Feature attribution methods, such as Integrated Gradient, are a type of post-hoc explainer that can provide token-level insights. However, explanations on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Jonathan Kamp , Roos Bakker , Dominique Blok

Learning-to-rank (LTR) algorithms are ubiquitous and necessary to explore the extensive catalogs of media providers. To avoid the user examining all the results, its preferences are used to provide a subset of relatively small size. The…

Multi-label classification is the task of assigning a subset of labels to a given query instance. For evaluating such predictions, the set of predicted labels needs to be compared to the ground-truth label set associated with that instance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Eyke Hüllermeier , Marcel Wever , Eneldo Loza Mencia , Johannes Fürnkranz , Michael Rapp

It is often very challenging to manually design reward functions for complex, real-world tasks. To solve this, one can instead use reward learning to infer a reward function from data. However, there are often multiple reward functions that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-08 Joar Skalse , Matthew Farrugia-Roberts , Stuart Russell , Alessandro Abate , Adam Gleave

Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy , Michelle L. F. Cheong

Algorithmic pricing raises a question of interpretation as well as intervention: when autonomous deep-learning pricing systems sustain supracompetitive prices, what strategic pattern have they learned, and how might market institutions…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-19 Soumen Banerjee

In this paper, we consider the revealed preferences problem from a learning perspective. Every day, a price vector and a budget is drawn from an unknown distribution, and a rational agent buys his most preferred bundle according to some…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-11-20 Morteza Zadimoghaddam , Aaron Roth

We present a comprehensive examination of learning methodologies employed for the structural identification of dynamical systems. These techniques are designed to elucidate emergent phenomena within intricate systems of interacting agents.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Jinchao Feng , Ming Zhong

Loss-gradients are used to interpret the decision making process of deep learning models. In this work, we evaluate loss-gradient based attribution methods by occluding parts of the input and comparing the performance of the occluded input…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Vinod Subramanian , Siddharth Gururani , Emmanouil Benetos , Mark Sandler