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This paper derives a Minimum Message Length (MML) criterion for the model selection of the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) time series model. The MML87 performances on the ARMA model compared with other well known model selection…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-02 Zheng Fang , David L. Dowe , Shelton Peiris , Dedi Rosadi

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Chi-Hua Chen

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Accurately predicting travel mode choice is essential for effective transportation planning, yet traditional statistical and machine learning models are constrained by rigid assumptions, limited contextual reasoning, and reduced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Yiming Xu , Junfeng Jiao

We devise a performance model for GPU training of Deep Learning Recommendation Models (DLRM), whose GPU utilization is low compared to other well-optimized CV and NLP models. We show that both the device active time (the sum of kernel…

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

In a typical car-following scenario, target vehicle speed fluctuations act as an external disturbance to the host vehicle and in turn affect its energy consumption. To control a host vehicle in an energy-efficient manner using model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-02 Sai Krishna Chada , Daniel Görges , Achim Ebert , Roman Teutsch

Despite the advantageous subquadratic complexity of modern recurrent deep learning models -- such as state-space models (SSMs) -- recent studies have highlighted their potential shortcomings compared to transformers on reasoning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Destiny Okpekpe , Antonio Orvieto

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

In this paper, we propose deep learning architectures (FNN, CNN and LSTM) to forecast a regression model for time dependent data. These algorithm's are designed to handle Floating Car Data (FCD) historic speeds to predict road traffic data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Thomas Epelbaum , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Jessica Martin

This paper gives an overview on how to develop a dense and deep neural network for making a time series prediction. First, the history and cornerstones in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning will be presented. After a short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić

In this paper we study different approaches for time series modeling. The forecasting approaches using linear models, ARIMA alpgorithm, XGBoost machine learning algorithm are described. Results of different model combinations are shown. For…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-07 B. M. Pavlyshenko

In the modern transportation industry, accurate prediction of travelers' next destinations brings multiple benefits to companies, such as customer satisfaction and targeted marketing. This study focuses on developing a precise model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Salih Salihoglu , Gulser Koksal , Orhan Abar

Multi-task learning is assumed as a powerful inference method, specifically, where there is a considerable correlation between multiple tasks, predicting them in an unique framework may enhance prediction results. This research challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Ali Yazdizadeh , Arash Kalatian , Zachary Patterson , Bilal Farooq

Next location prediction is of great importance for many location-based applications and provides essential intelligence to business and governments. In existing studies, a common approach to next location prediction is to learn the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-03-18 Qingjie Liu , Yixuan Zuo , Xiaohui Yu , Meng Chen

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for modeling the error incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized dynamical systems. In particular, we extend the machine-learning error models (MLEM) framework proposed in Ref. 15 to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-22 Eric J. Parish , Kevin T. Carlberg

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-25 Anuvab Sen , Vedica Gupta , Chi Tang

Reward models are central to both reinforcement learning (RL) with language models and inference-time verification. However, existing reward models often lack temporal consistency, leading to ineffective policy updates and unstable RL…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Dan Zhang , Min Cai , Jonathan Light , Ziniu Hu , Yisong Yue , Jie Tang