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This study develops and empirically validates a Mixture of Experts (MoE) framework for stock price prediction across heterogeneous volatility regimes using real market data. The proposed model combines a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-06 Diego Vallarino

Large Language Models (LLMs) with Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures are distinguished by their strong performance scaling with increasing parameters across a wide range of tasks, yet they also suffer from substantial computational and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Yuzhuang Xu , Xu Han , Yuanchi Zhang , Yixuan Wang , Yijun Liu , Shiyu Ji , Qingfu Zhu , Wanxiang Che

The Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) technique has proven to be a promising solution to efficiently scale the model size, which has been widely applied in recent LLM advancements. However, the substantial memory overhead of MoE models has made…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Ruijie Miao , Yilun Yao , Zihan Wang , Zhiming Wang , Bairen Yi , LingJun Liu , Yikai Zhao , Tong Yang

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) activates only a subset of experts during inference, allowing the model to maintain low inference FLOPs and latency even as the parameter count scales up. However, since MoE dynamically selects the experts, all the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Shibo Jie , Yehui Tang , Kai Han , Yitong Li , Duyu Tang , Zhi-Hong Deng , Yunhe Wang

We provide a unified approach to a method of estimation of the regression parameter in balanced linear models with a structured covariance matrix that combines a high breakdown point and bounded influence with high asymptotic efficiency at…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-22 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

Missing data and noisy observations pose significant challenges for reliably predicting events from irregularly sampled multivariate time series (longitudinal) data. Imputation methods, which are typically used for completing the data prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-17 Hossein Soleimani , James Hensman , Suchi Saria

Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures offer a promising paradigm for decoupling complex drift patterns,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jiawen Zhu , Shuhan Liu , Di Weng , Yingcai Wu

Cure models have been developed as an alternative modelling approach to conventional survival analysis in order to account for the presence of cured subjects that will never experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models, which model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Eni Musta , Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Finite Mixture of Regressions (FMR) models are among the most widely used approaches in dealing with the heterogeneity among the observations in regression problems. One of the limitations of current approaches is their inability to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-25 Haidar Almohri , Arash Ali Amini , Ratna Babu Chinnam

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

The functional linear model is a popular tool to investigate the relationship between a scalar/functional response variable and a scalar/functional covariate. We generalize this model to a functional linear mixed-effects model when repeated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-07 Baisen Liu , Jiguo Cao

Precision matrix estimation is a cornerstone concept in statistics, economics, and finance. Despite advances in recent years, estimation methods that are simultaneously (i) dense, (ii) consistent, and (iii) model-free are lacking. While…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-05 Mehmet Caner Agostino Capponi Mihailo Stojnic

Mixtures of Experts combine the outputs of several "expert" networks, each of which specializes in a different part of the input space. This is achieved by training a "gating" network that maps each input to a distribution over the experts.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-03-11 David Eigen , Marc'Aurelio Ranzato , Ilya Sutskever

Survival analysis is a challenging variation of regression modeling because of the presence of censoring, where the outcome measurement is only partially known, due to, for example, loss to follow up. Such problems come up frequently in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Chirag Nagpal , Steve Yadlowsky , Negar Rostamzadeh , Katherine Heller

The Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture is a powerful technique for scaling language models, yet it often suffers from expert homogenization, where experts learn redundant functionalities, thereby limiting MoE's full potential. To address…

In many applications (e.g., medical studies), the population of interest (e.g., disease status) comprises heterogeneous subpopulations. The mixture of probabilistic regression models is one of the most common techniques to incorporate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Elsayed Ghanem , Armin Hatefi , Hamid Usefi

The mixture of experts (MoE) model is a versatile framework for predictive modeling that has gained renewed interest in the age of large language models. A collection of predictive ``experts'' is learned along with a ``gating function''…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Oh-Ran Kwon , Gourab Mukherjee , Jacob Bien

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

Model merging aims to combine multiple task-specific expert models into a single model while preserving generalization across diverse tasks. However, interference among experts, especially when they are trained on different objectives,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Bo Xu , Haotian Wu , Hehai Lin , Weiquan Huang , Beier Zhu , Yao Shu , Chengwei Qin