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Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

A region under rainfall is a contiguous spatial area receiving positive precipitation at a particular time. The probabilistic behavior of such a region is an issue of interest in meteorological studies. A region under rainfall can be viewed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kaushik Jana , Debasis Sengupta , Subrata Kundu , Arindam Chakraborty , Purnima Shaw

Predicting future probable values of model parameters, is an essential pre-requisite for assessing model decision reliability in an uncertain environment. Scenario Analysis is a methodology for modelling uncertainty in water resources…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-17 Seyed Hamed Alemohammad , Reza Ardakanian , Akbar Karimi

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Rural economies are largely dependent upon agriculture, which is greatly determined by climatic conditions such as rainfall. This study aims to forecast agricultural production in Maharashtra, India, which utilises annual data from the year…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Soham Ghosh , Sujay Mukhoti , Pritee Sharma

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

Long-term rainfall prediction is a challenging task especially in the modern world where we are facing the major environmental problem of global warming. In general, climate and rainfall are highly non-linear phenomena in nature exhibiting…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Dan Steinberg

Accurate and timely prediction of heavy rainfall events is crucial for effective flood risk management and disaster preparedness. By monitoring, analysing, and evaluating rainfall data at a local level, it is not only possible to take…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Edwin Salcedo

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

The impact of meteorological observations on weather forecasting varies with sensor type, location, time, and other environmental factors. Thus, quantitative analysis of observation impacts is crucial for effective and efficient development…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

With the deterioration of climate, the phenomenon of rain-induced flooding has become frequent. To mitigate its impact, recent works adopt convolutional neural network or its variants to predict the floods. However, these methods directly…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Feifei Wang , Yong Wang , Bing Li , Qidong Huang , Shaoqing Chen

Despite the progress within the last decades, weather forecasting is still a challenging and computationally expensive task. Current satellite-based approaches to predict thunderstorms are usually based on the analysis of the observed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-04 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich , Richard Müller

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

Studying water droplets is a rich lesson in fields of fluid dynamics, nonlinear systems, and differential equations. Understanding various physical aspects of raindrops can help us in understanding drop dynamics, rainfall density…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Yashvir Tibrewal , Nishchal Dwivedi

Urban rail transit provides significant comprehensive benefits such as large traffic volume and high speed, serving as one of the most important components of urban traffic construction management and congestion solution. Using real…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-05 Yiming Hu , Yangchuan Huang , Shuying Liu , Yuanyang Qi , Danhui Bai

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-06-24 Martin Gauch , Jimmy Lin

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Recently,…