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The increasing volume of data streams poses significant computational challenges for detecting changepoints online. Likelihood-based methods are effective, but a naive sequential implementation becomes impractical online due to high…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Liudmila Pishchagina , Gaetano Romano , Paul Fearnhead , Vincent Runge , Guillem Rigaill

We propose a nonparametric approach to link prediction in large-scale dynamic networks. Our model uses graph-based features of pairs of nodes as well as those of their local neighborhoods to predict whether those nodes will be linked at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-19 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Changepoint analysis deals with unsupervised detection and/or estimation of time-points in time-series data, when the distribution generating the data changes. In this article, we consider \emph{offline} changepoint detection in the context…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Avinandan Bose , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

In this paper we study the kernel change-point algorithm (KCP) proposed by Arlot, Celisse and Harchaoui (2012), which aims at locating an unknown number of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-30 Damien Garreau , Sylvain Arlot

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Change-point detection in dynamic networks has received much attention due to its broad applications in social networks and biological systems. Kernel-based methods have shown strong potential for this problem. However, their performance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Mingxuan Sun , Hao Chen

Estimating the unknown causal dependencies among graph-connected time series plays an important role in many applications, such as sensor network analysis, signal processing over cyber-physical systems, and finance engineering. Inference of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-02 Rohan Money , Joshin Krishnan , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

Uncertain data streams have been widely generated in many Web applications. The uncertainty in data streams makes anomaly detection from sensor data streams far more challenging. In this paper, we present a novel framework that supports…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-07-21 Jiangang Ma , Le Sun , Hua Wang , Yanchun Zhang , Uwe Aickelin

We propose a novel change-point detection method based on online Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control (ODMDwC). Leveraging ODMDwC's ability to find and track linear approximation of a non-linear system while incorporating control…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica , Yoshinobu Kawahara

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

In many temporally ordered data sets, it is observed that the parameters of the underlying distribution change abruptly at unknown times. The detection of such changepoints is important for many applications. While this problem has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee , Arnab Kumar Laha

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We propose TrendSegment, a methodology for detecting multiple change-points corresponding to linear trend changes in one dimensional data. A core ingredient of TrendSegment is a new Tail-Greedy Unbalanced Wavelet transform: a conditionally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-09 Hyeyoung Maeng , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Change-point detection (CPD) involves identifying distributional changes in a sequence of independent observations. Among nonparametric methods, rank-based methods are attractive due to their robustness and effectiveness and have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Doudou Zhou , Hao Chen

Detecting change points sequentially in a streaming setting, especially when both the mean and the variance of the signal can change, is often a challenging task. A key difficulty in this context often involves setting an appropriate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport , Yao Xie

We consider detecting change points in the correlation structure of streaming data with minimum assumptions posed on the underlying data distribution. Detection statistics are constructed for dense and sparse change settings, based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Jie Gao , Liyan Xie , Zhaoyuan Li

Given a finite sequence of graphs, e.g., coming from technological, biological, and social networks, the paper proposes a methodology to identify possible changes in stationarity in the stochastic process generating the graphs. In order to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi