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Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Photovoltaic systems are sensitive to cloud shadow projection, which needs to be forecasted to reduce the noise impacting the intra-hour forecast of global solar irradiance. We present a comparison between different kernel discriminative…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-29 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Horizontal atmospheric wind shear causes wind velocity fields to have different directions and speeds. In images of clouds acquired using ground-based sky imagers, clouds may be moving in different wind layers. To increase the performance…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-22 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Quentin Paletta , Max Aragon , Andea Scott , Adam Brandt

The occlusion of the sun by clouds is one of the primary sources of uncertainties in solar power generation, and is a factor that affects the wide-spread use of solar power as a primary energy source. Real-time forecasting of cloud movement…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Haejoon Lee , Soummya Kar , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

The intermittency of solar power, due to occlusion from cloud cover, is one of the key factors inhibiting its widespread use in both commercial and residential settings. Hence, real-time forecasting of solar irradiance for grid-connected…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

The paper presents a Gaussian/kernel process regression method for real-time state estimation and forecasting of phase angle and angular speed in systems with a high penetration of solar generation units, operating under a sparse…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-20 Mohammad Ensaf , Masoud Barati

We present a novel approach to perform ground-based estimation and prediction of the surface solar irradiance with the view to predicting photovoltaic energy production. We propose the use of mini-batch k-means clustering to extract…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-27 Mehdi Zakroum , Mounir Ghogho , Mustapha Faqir , Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

This paper presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting solar power generation with high accuracy using a 99% AUC (Area Under the Curve) metric. The approach includes data collection, pre-processing, feature selection, model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 E. Subramanian , M. Mithun Karthik , G Prem Krishna , D. Vaisnav Prasath , V. Sukesh Kumar
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