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Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Advanced metering infrastructure systems record a high volume of residential load data, opening up an opportunity for utilities to understand consumer energy consumption behaviors. Existing studies have focused on load profiling and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-15 Wen-Jun Tang , Xian-Long Lee , Hao Wang , Hong-Tzer Yang

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Understanding the energy consumption patterns of different types of consumers is essential in any planning of energy distribution. However, obtaining consumption information for single individuals is often either not possible or too…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-24 Amanda Lenzi , Camila P. E. de Souza , Ronaldo Dias , Nancy Garcia , Nancy E. Heckman

Electricity consumption has increased exponentially during the past few decades. This increase is heavily burdening the electricity distributors. Therefore, predicting the future demand for electricity consumption will provide an upper hand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-19 Anupiya Nugaliyadde , Upeka Somaratne , Kok Wai Wong

Consumer energy forecasting is essential for managing energy consumption and planning, directly influencing operational efficiency, cost reduction, personalized energy management, and sustainability efforts. In recent years, deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Muhammad Umair Danish , Katarina Grolinger

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

The recent advent of smart meters has led to large micro-level datasets. For the first time, the electricity consumption at individual sites is available on a near real-time basis. Efficient management of energy resources, electric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-09-10 Siddharth Arora , James W. Taylor

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

In low-income settings, the most critical piece of information for electric utilities is the anticipated consumption of a customer. Electricity consumption assessment is difficult to do in settings where a significant fraction of households…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-17 Simone Fobi , Joel Mugyenyi , Nathaniel J. Williams , Vijay Modi , Jay Taneja

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep learning approaches have been proposed to perform this task,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Dahai Yu , Rongchao Xu , Dingyi Zhuang , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

In electricity markets, retailers or brokers want to maximize profits by allocating tariff profiles to end consumers. One of the objectives of such demand response management is to incentivize the consumers to adjust their consumption so…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 Jyoti Narwariya , Chetan Verma , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Easwara Subramanian , Sanjay Bhat

This paper presents a novel probabilistic data-driven approach to trip-level energy consumption estimation of battery electric vehicles (BEVs). As there are very few electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, EV trip energy consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Ayan Maity , Sudeshna Sarkar

Residential customers have traditionally not been treated as individual entities due to the high volatility in residential consumption patterns as well as a historic focus on aggregated loads from the utility and system feeder perspective.…

Recently there has been significant research on power generation, distribution and transmission efficiency especially in the case of renewable resources. The main objective is reduction of energy losses and this requires improvements on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-17 Stefan Hosein , Patrick Hosein

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

Advancements in smart metering technologies have significantly improved the ability to monitor and manage water utilities. In the context of increasing uncertainty due to climate change, securing water resources and supply has emerged as an…

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma
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