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Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

A common practice in IV studies is to check for instrument strength, i.e. its association to the treatment, with an F-test from regression. If the F-statistic is above some threshold, usually 10, the instrument is deemed to satisfy one of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Nan Bi , Hyunseung Kang , Jonathan Taylor

We consider design-based causal inference for spatial experiments in which treatments may have effects that bleed out and feed back in complex ways. Such spatial spillover effects violate the standard ``no interference'' assumption for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Ye Wang , Cyrus Samii , Haoge Chang , P. M. Aronow

Network interference occurs when a unit's outcome depends not only on its own treatment but also on the treatments received by connected units in the network. Experimental designs and analysis methods that ignore such interference can yield…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Xiao Liu , Feifang Hu , Jingfei Zhang

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Missing data is unavoidable in longitudinal clinical trials, and outcomes are not always normally distributed. In the presence of outliers or heavy-tailed distributions, the conventional multiple imputation with the mixed model with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Siyi Liu , Yilong Zhang , Gregory T Golm , Guanghan , Liu , Shu Yang

Weak-to-strong alignment offers a promising route to scalable supervision, but it can fail when a strong model becomes confidently wrong on examples that lie in the weak teacher's blind spots. Understanding such failures requires going…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Hamid Osooli , Kareema Batool , Rick Gentry , Tiasa Singha Roy , Ashwin Gupta , Anirudha Ramesh

Interference or spillover effects arise when an individual's outcome (e.g., health) is influenced not only by their own treatment (e.g., vaccination) but also by the treatment of others, creating challenges for evaluating treatment effects.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-12 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck , Mara Mattes

In estimating the causal effect of a continuous exposure or treatment, it is important to control for all confounding factors. However, most existing methods require parametric specification for how control variables influence the outcome…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray

This paper develops methods for uncertainty quantification in causal inference settings with random network interference. We study the large-sample distributional properties of the classical difference-in-means Hajek treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yihan He , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Background: The E-value has become widely used for assessing robustness to unmeasured confounding in observational studies, but the original framework was developed for single time-point exposure-outcome settings. This study extends the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Md. Niamul Islam Sium

Influence functions (IFs) are a powerful tool for detecting anomalous examples in large scale datasets. However, they are unstable when applied to deep networks. In this paper, we provide an explanation for the instability of IFs and…

Studies that collect multi-outcome data such as tobacco and alcohol use are becoming increasingly common. In principle, multi-outcomes studies investigate the correlations between outcomes, including, causal links and/or joint…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-03 George G. Vega Yon , Mary Jo Pugh , Thomas W. Valente

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with machine learning has attracted substantial attention in both academic research and industrial practice. However, the two communities often evaluate models under markedly different conditions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 George Panagopoulos

Clinical trials often evaluate multiple outcome variables to form a comprehensive picture of the effects of a new treatment. The resulting multidimensional insight contributes to clinically relevant and efficient decision-making about…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 X. M. Kavelaars , J. Mulder , M. C. Kaptein

Robins and Richardson (2010) reformulated mediation analysis by decomposing treatments into multiple components and examining separable effects of each component. While this approach is increasingly popular, existing work has analyzed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Chan Park , Youmi Suk

In estimating the effects of a treatment/policy with a network, an unit is subject to two types of treatment: one is the direct treatment on the unit itself, and the other is the indirect treatment (i.e., network/spillover influence)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Myoung-jae Lee

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is crucial for reliable decision-making in treatment evaluation and selection. The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is widely used to capture treatment effect heterogeneity induced by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Peng Wu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng , Yue Liu

We extend the continuity-based framework to Regression Discontinuity Designs (RDDs) to identify and estimate causal effects under interference when units are connected through a network. Assignment to an "effective treatment," combining the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Elena Dal Torrione , Tiziano Arduini , Laura Forastiere

In the statistical literature, a number of methods have been proposed to ensure valid inference about marginal effects of variables on a longitudinal outcome in settings with irregular monitoring times. However, the potential biases due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Janie Coulombe , Erica E M Moodie , Robert W Platt