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We propose a new empirical Bayes approach for inference in the $p \gg n$ normal linear model. The novelty is the use of data in the prior in two ways, for centering and regularization. Under suitable sparsity assumptions, we establish a…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-06 Ryan Martin , Raymond Mess , Stephen G. Walker

The cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments have reached an era of unprecedented precision and complexity. Aiming to detect the primordial B-mode polarization signal, these experiments will soon be equipped with $10^{4}$ to $10^{5}$…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-11-05 Avinash Anand , Giuseppe Puglisi

We propose a novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RSRL) that incorporates robustness against transition uncertainty. We define two distinct yet coupled risk measures: an inner risk measure addressing state and cost…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-01 Shanyu Han , Yangbo He , Yang Liu

This works extends the Random Embedding Bayesian Optimization approach by integrating a warping of the high dimensional subspace within the covariance kernel. The proposed warping, that relies on elementary geometric considerations, allows…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-03-19 Mickaël Binois , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

This study proposes the novel Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference framework that incorporates symmetry bias into the Bayesian updating process to perform both conventional and inverse Bayesian updates concurrently. Conventional…

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

We propose a Bayesian Sequential procedure to test hypotheses concerning the Relative Risk between two specific treatments based on the binary data obtained from the two-arm clinical trial. Our development is based on the optimal sequential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

In this paper, Bayesian parameter estimation through the consideration of the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) criterion is revisited under the prism of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. By incorporating a sparsity-promoting penalty…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-08-06 Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero , Boris I. Godoy , Dimitrios Katselis

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

Multimodal generative models have recently gained significant attention for their ability to learn representations across various modalities, enhancing joint and cross-generation coherence. However, most existing works use standard Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Shiyu Yuan , Jiali Cui , Hanao Li , Tian Han

It is difficult to accurately estimate the rates of rape and domestic violence due to the sensitive nature of these crimes. There is evidence that bias in estimating the crime rates from survey data may arise because some women respondents…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-28 Qingzhao Yu , Elizabeth A. Stasny , Bin Li

Because of the widespread existence of noise and data corruption, recovering the true regression parameters with a certain proportion of corrupted response variables is an essential task. Methods to overcome this problem often involve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Zheyi Fan , Zhaohui Li , Jingyan Wang , Dennis K. J. Lin , Xiao Xiong , Qingpei Hu

External controls from historical trials or observational data can augment randomized controlled trials when large-scale randomization is impractical or unethical, such as in drug evaluation for rare diseases. However, non-randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

Classical Bayesian persuasion assumes that senders fully understand how receivers form beliefs and make decisions--an assumption that rarely holds when receivers possess private information or exhibit non-Bayesian behavior. In this paper,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-11 Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

In this paper, we explore adaptive inference based on variational Bayes. Although several studies have been conducted to analyze the contraction properties of variational posteriors, there is still a lack of a general and computationally…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

Evidence theory is widely used in decision-making and reasoning systems. In previous research, Transferable Belief Model (TBM) is a commonly used evidential decision making model, but TBM is a non-preference model. In order to better fit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Tianxiang Zhan , Zhen Li , Yong Deng

Empirical Bayes methods can improve inference on unobservable individual effects by borrowing strength across units. This paper proposes nonparametric empirical Bayes confidence intervals (NP-EBCIs) for unobservable individual effects in a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Zhen Xie

The start of LHC has motivated an effort to determine the relative probability of the different regions of the MSSM parameter space, taking into account the present, theoretical and experimental, wisdom about the model. Since the present…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2014-11-18 M. E. Cabrera , J. A. Casas , R. Ruiz de Austri

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

Bayesian hierarchical models are increasing popular in economics. When using hierarchical models, it is useful not only to calculate posterior expectations, but also to measure the robustness of these expectations to reasonable alternative…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Rachael Meager , Jonathan Huggins , Michael Jordan