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This paper presents a novel method for rare event detection from an image pair with class-imbalanced datasets. A straightforward approach for event detection tasks is to train a detection network from a large-scale dataset in an end-to-end…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-05 Ryuhei Hamaguchi , Ken Sakurada , Ryosuke Nakamura

Predicting the occurence of rare and extreme events in complex systems is a well-known problem in non-equilibrium physics. These events can have huge impacts on human societies. New approaches have emerged in the last ten years, which…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-08-09 Eric Simonnet

The graph transformation approach is a recently proposed method for computing mean first passage times, rates, and committor probabilities for kinetic transition networks. Here we compare the performance to existing linear algebra methods,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Jacob D. Stevenson , David J. Wales

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius

Inference in hierarchical nonlinear models needs careful consideration about targeting parameters that have either a conditional or population-average interpretation. For the special case of mixed-effects nonlinear sigmoidal models we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Daniel Gerhard , Christian Ritz

Directed networks are conveniently represented as graphs in which ordered edges encode interactions between vertices. Despite their wide availability, there is a shortage of statistical models amenable for inference, specially when…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-05 Stefan Stein , Chenlei Leng

The explicit regularization and optimality of deep neural networks estimators from independent data have made considerable progress recently. The study of such properties on dependent data is still a challenge. In this paper, we carry out…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-09 William Kengne , Modou Wade

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

Graphical models are frequently used to explore networks, such as genetic networks, among a set of variables. This is usually carried out via exploring the sparsity of the precision matrix of the variables under consideration. Penalized…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-17 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Yichao Wu

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

Extreme events have low occurrence probabilities and display pronounced deviation from their average behaviour, such as earthquakes or power blackouts. Such extreme events occurring on the nodes of a complex network have been extensively…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Govind Gandhi , M. S. Santhanam

Regression modeling of recurrent and terminal events continues to present methodological challenges in survival analysis. Existing approaches either make unverifiable assumptions about the dependency structure between the two event types or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Anna Bellach , Michael R. Kosorok

Sampled network data are widely used in empirical research because collecting complete network information is costly. However, empirical analyses based on sampled networks may lead to biased estimators. We propose a nonparametric imputation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Ge Sun , Weisheng Zhang

Training classifiers is difficult with severe class imbalance, but many rare events are the culmination of a sequence with much more common intermediate outcomes. For example, in online marketing a user first sees an ad, then may click on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-31 Gregory Faletto , Jacob Bien

Extreme events, such as market crashes, natural disasters, and pandemics, are rare but catastrophic, often triggering cascading failures across interconnected systems. Accurate prediction and early warning can help minimize losses and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Jingyi Gu , Xuan Zhang , Guiling Wang

The paper deals with generalized functional regression. The aim is to estimate the influence of covariates on observations, drawn from an exponential distribution. The link considered has a semiparametric expression: if we are interested in…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-20 Irène Gannaz

To investigate whether treating cancer patients with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) would increase the mortality risk, Bennett et al. [Journal of the American Medical Association 299 (2008) 914--924] conducted a meta-analysis with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-10-11 Rui Wang , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai , L. J. Wei

Recurrent events are common and important clinical trial endpoints in many disease areas, e.g., cardiovascular hospitalizations in heart failure, relapses in multiple sclerosis, or exacerbations in asthma. During a trial, patients may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Jiren Sun , Tobias Mutze , Richard Cook , Tianmeng Lyu