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Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

Inequalities may appear in many models. They can be as simple as assuming a parameter is nonnegative, possibly a regression coefficient or a treatment effect. This paper focuses on the case that there is only one inequality and proposes a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-17 Gregory Fletcher Cox

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

Adaptive confidence intervals for regression functions are constructed under shape constraints of monotonicity and convexity. A natural benchmark is established for the minimum expected length of confidence intervals at a given function in…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-27 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low , Yin Xia

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

The behaviors of various confidence/credible interval constructions are explored, particularly in the region of low statistics where methods diverge most. We highlight a number of challenges, such as the treatment of nuisance parameters,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-04 Steven D. Biller , Scott M. Oser

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

The problem of constructing confidence sets in the high-dimensional linear model with $n$ response variables and $p$ parameters, possibly $p\ge n$, is considered. Full honest adaptive inference is possible if the rate of sparse estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Richard Nickl , Sara van de Geer

Interval identification of parameters such as average treatment effects, average partial effects and welfare is particularly common when using observational data and experimental data with imperfect compliance due to the endogeneity of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-09 Sukjin Han , Adam McCloskey

Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-04 Yoav Benjamini , Yotam Hechtlinger , Philip B. Stark

Various methods have recently been proposed to estimate causal effects with confidence intervals that are uniformly valid over a set of data generating processes when high-dimensional nuisance models are estimated by post-model-selection or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Niloofar Moosavi , Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

We derive confidence intervals and confidence sequences for causal effects in situations where the back-door or front-door criteria are applicable. Our tightest confidence intervals hold in the standard setting where the training data…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

For any class of one-sided $1-\alpha$ confidence intervals with a certain monotonicity ordering on the random confidence limit, the smallest interval, in the sense of the set inclusion for the difference of two proportions of two…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-19 Weizhen Wang

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Consider a linear regression model with independent and identically normally distributed random errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. We prove that the usual…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri , Hannes Leeb

It is in general challenging to provide confidence intervals for individual variables in high-dimensional regression without making strict or unverifiable assumptions on the design matrix. We show here that a "group-bound" confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-12 Nicolai Meinshausen
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