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Classical learning theory suggests that the optimal generalization performance of a machine learning model should occur at an intermediate model complexity, with simpler models exhibiting high bias and more complex models exhibiting high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

Despite alarm over the reliance of machine learning systems on so-called spurious patterns, the term lacks coherent meaning in standard statistical frameworks. However, the language of causality offers clarity: spurious associations are due…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Divyansh Kaushik , Eduard Hovy , Zachary C. Lipton

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Graph contrastive learning has shown great promise when labeled data is scarce, but large unlabeled datasets are available. However, it often does not take uncertainty estimation into account. We show that a variational Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Alexander Möllers , Alexander Immer , Elvin Isufi , Vincent Fortuin

Artificial Intelligence (AI) holds the potential to dramatically improve patient care. However, it is not infallible, necessitating human-AI-collaboration to ensure safe implementation. One aspect of AI safety is the models' ability to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Anna M. Wundram , Christian F. Baumgartner

A key strategy for balancing performance and cost in modern machine learning systems is to dynamically route queries to either a low-cost model or a more expensive oracle (such as a large pretrained model or human expert), an approach known…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Charlotte Peale , Siddartha Devic , Parikshit Gopalan , Udi Wieder , Aravind Gollakota

Negation and uncertainty modeling are long-standing tasks in natural language processing. Linguistic theory postulates that expressions of negation and uncertainty are semantically independent from each other and the content they modify.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Jake Vasilakes , Chrysoula Zerva , Makoto Miwa , Sophia Ananiadou

Contrastive approaches to representation learning have recently shown great promise. In contrast to generative approaches, these contrastive models learn a deterministic encoder with no notion of uncertainty or confidence. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Learning disentangled representations that correspond to factors of variation in real-world data is critical to interpretable and human-controllable machine learning. Recently, concerns about the viability of learning disentangled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-14 Rui Shu , Yining Chen , Abhishek Kumar , Stefano Ermon , Ben Poole

Machine Learning is a powerful tool to reveal and exploit correlations in a multi-dimensional parameter space. Making predictions from such correlations is a highly non-trivial task, in particular when the details of the underlying dynamics…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2019-01-30 Christoph Englert , Peter Galler , Philip Harris , Michael Spannowsky

Deep learning models are known to often learn features that spuriously correlate with the class label during training but are irrelevant to the prediction task. Existing methods typically address this issue by annotating potential spurious…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Weiwei Li , Junzhuo Liu , Yuanyuan Ren , Yuchen Zheng , Yahao Liu , Wen Li

The notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty has long been perceived as almost synonymous with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Quantifying and managing uncertainties that occur when data-driven models such as those provided by AI and machine learning methods are applied is crucial. This whitepaper provides a brief motivation and first overview of the state of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-29 Michael Kläs

Data-driven control in unknown environments requires a clear understanding of the involved uncertainties for ensuring safety and efficient exploration. While aleatoric uncertainty that arises from measurement noise can often be explicitly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Neha Das , Jonas Umlauft , Armin Lederer , Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Extensive research on formal verification of machine learning (ML) systems indicates that learning from data alone often fails to capture underlying background knowledge. A variety of verifiers have been developed to ensure that a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2023-11-17 Thomas Flinkow , Barak A. Pearlmutter , Rosemary Monahan

Learning-augmented algorithms have been attracting increasing interest, but have only recently been considered in the setting of explorable uncertainty where precise values of uncertain input elements can be obtained by a query and the goal…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-05-17 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo Santos de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià