相关论文: Machine-Learned HASDM Model with Uncertainty Quant…

Data assimilation (DA) methods combine model predictions with observational data to improve state estimation in dynamical systems, inspiring their increasingly prominent role in geophysical and climate applications. Classical DA methods…

Based on recent advancements in using machine learning for classical density functional theory for systems with one-dimensional, planar inhomogeneities, we propose a machine learning model for application in two dimensions (2D) akin to…

We present model independent reconstructions of quintessence and the Swampland conjectures (SC) using both Machine Learning (ML) and cosmography. In particular, we demonstrate how the synergies between theoretical analyses and ML can…

Predictive uncertainty quantification is crucial in decision-making problems. We investigate how to adequately quantify predictive uncertainty with missing covariates. A bottleneck is that missing values induce heteroskedasticity on the…

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sampling the input parameter space, in order to generate an…

Probabilistic machine learning techniques can learn both complex relations between input features and output quantities of interest as well as take into account stochasticity or uncertainty within a data set. In this initial work, we…

Morden deep ensembles technique achieves strong uncertainty estimation performance by going through multiple forward passes with different models. This is at the price of a high storage space and a slow speed in the inference (test) time.…

Machine learning methods and uncertainty quantification have been gaining interest throughout the last several years in low-energy nuclear physics. In particular, Gaussian processes and Bayesian Neural Networks have increasingly been…

This paper studies the Model Selection Confidence Set (MSCS) methodology for univariate time series models involving autoregressive and moving average components, and applies it to study model selection uncertainty in the Italian…

Machine Learning (ML) has offered innovative perspectives for accelerating the discovery of new functional materials, leveraging the increasing availability of material databases. Despite the promising advances, data-driven methods face…

Density functional theory is the standard theory for computing the electronic structure of materials, which is based on a functional that maps the electron density to the energy. However, a rigorous form of the functional is not known and…

Existing point cloud modeling datasets primarily express the modeling precision by pose or trajectory precision rather than the point cloud modeling effect itself. Under this demand, we first independently construct a set of LiDAR system…

In this study, a method for predicting unsteady aerodynamic forces under different initial conditions using a limited number of samples based on transfer learning is proposed, aiming to avoid the need for large-scale high-fidelity…

We present nonparametric techniques for constructing and verifying density estimates from high-dimensional data whose irregular dependence structure cannot be modelled by parametric multivariate distributions. A low-dimensional…

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Numerical modeling of different structural materials that have highly nonlinear behaviors has always been a challenging problem in engineering disciplines. Experimental data is commonly used to characterize this behavior. This study aims to…

In this second part of our two-part paper, we provide a detailed, frequentist framework for propagating uncertainties within our multivariate linear least squares model. This permits us to quantify the impact of uncertainties in…

To make best use of multi-faceted astronomical and nuclear data-sets, probability distributions of neutron star models that can be used to propagate errors consistently from one domain to another are required. We take steps toward a…

We investigate the possibility of measuring the Hubble constant, the fractional energy density components and the equation of state parameter of the ``dark energy'' using lensed multiple images of high-redshift supernovae. With future…