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相关论文: Optimal transport weights for causal inference

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The same intervention can produce different effects in different sites. Transport mediation estimators can estimate the extent to which such differences can be explained by differences in compositional factors and the mechanisms by which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Kara E. Rudolph , Ivan Diaz

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust…

Biases in observational data of treatments pose a major challenge to estimating expected treatment outcomes in different populations. An important technique that accounts for these biases is reweighting samples to minimize the discrepancy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-14 Michal Ozery-Flato , Pierre Thodoroff , Matan Ninio , Michal Rosen-Zvi , Tal El-Hay

Epidemiologists and applied statisticians often believe that relative effect measures conditional on covariates, such as risk ratios and mean ratios, are ``transportable'' across populations. Here, we examine the identification of causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-24 Issa J. Dahabreh , Sarah E. Robertson , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

Weighting methods are widely used to adjust for covariates in observational studies, sample surveys, and regression settings. In this paper, we study a class of recently proposed weighting methods which find the weights of minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Yixin Wang , José R. Zubizarreta

Recent methodological research in causal inference has focused on effects of stochastic interventions, which assign treatment randomly, often according to subject-specific covariates. In this work, we demonstrate that the usual notion of…

Many problems ask a question that can be formulated as a causal question: "what would have happened if...?" For example, "would the person have had surgery if he or she had been Black?" To address this kind of questions, calculating an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-20 Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic

This paper addresses the problem of Unbalanced Optimal Transport (UOT) in which the marginal conditions are relaxed (using weighted penalties in lieu of equality) and no additional regularization is enforced on the OT plan. In this context,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-09 Laetitia Chapel , Rémi Flamary , Haoran Wu , Cédric Févotte , Gilles Gasso

A high-quality experimental dataset is often much smaller than a corresponding observational dataset. When this holds with possibly biased measurements of the outcome of interest in the latter, we propose an estimation and inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Harrison H Li

Decomposing a total causal effect into natural direct and indirect effects is central to revealing causal mechanisms. Conventional methods achieve the decomposition by specifying an outcome model as a linear function of the treatment, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Guanglei Hong

Studying causal effects of continuous treatments is important for gaining a deeper understanding of many interventions, policies, or medications, yet researchers are often left with observational studies for doing so. In the observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Jared D. Huling , Noah Greifer , Guanhua Chen

Skepticism about the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, also known as exchangeability, is often warranted in making causal inferences from observational data; because exchangeability hinges on an investigator's ability to accurately…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Yifan Cui , Hongming Pu , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Estimation and inference of treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignments often suffer from bias and the `curse of dimensionality' due to the nonparametric estimation of nuisance parameters for high-dimensional confounders.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Zeqi Wu , Meilin Wang , Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang

Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the expected number of false discoveries, risking spurious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Omar Melikechi

Researchers frequently estimate treatment effects by regressing outcomes (Y) on treatment (D) and covariates (X). Even without unobserved confounding, the coefficient on D yields a conditional-variance-weighted average of strata-wise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Tanvi Shinkre , Chad Hazlett

A key to causal inference with observational data is achieving balance in predictive features associated with each treatment type. Recent literature has explored representation learning to achieve this goal. In this work, we discuss the…