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Companies offering web services routinely run randomized online experiments to estimate the causal impact associated with the adoption of new features and policies on key performance metrics of interest. These experiments are used to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Lorenzo Masoero , Doug Hains , James McQueen

Across a wide array of disciplines, many researchers use machine learning (ML) algorithms to identify a subgroup of individuals who are likely to benefit from a treatment the most (``exceptional responders'') or those who are harmed by it.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Michael Lingzhi Li , Kosuke Imai

Surface defect detection is significant in industrial production. However, detecting defects with varying textures and anomaly classes during the test time is challenging. This arises due to the differences in data distributions between…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Yiran Song , Qianyu Zhou , Lizhuang Ma

In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

The average treatment effect, which is the difference in expectation of the counterfactuals, is probably the most popular target effect in causal inference with binary treatments. However, treatments may have effects beyond the mean, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas , Edward H. Kennedy

Modern online experimentation faces two bottlenecks: scarce traffic forces tough choices on which variants to test, and post-hoc insight extraction is manual, inconsistent, and often content-agnostic. Meanwhile, organizations underuse…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Zhengmian Hu , Lei Shi , Ritwik Sinha , Justin Grover , David Arbour

This paper provides asymptotically valid tests for the null hypothesis of no treatment effect heterogeneity. Importantly, I consider the presence of heterogeneity that is not explained by observed characteristics, or so-called idiosyncratic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-04 Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar

A/B testing is a widely-used paradigm within marketing optimization because it promises identification of causal effects and because it is implemented out of the box in most messaging delivery software platforms. Modern businesses, however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Schaun Wheeler

Online controlled experiments are the primary tool for measuring the causal impact of product changes in digital businesses. It is increasingly common for digital products and services to interact with customers in a personalised way. Using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-02 C. H. Bryan Liu , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

When the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption is violated and there is interference among units, there is not a uniquely defined Average Treatment Effect, and alternative estimands may be of interest. Among these are average unit-level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Molly Offer-Westort , Drew Dimmery

A/B tests, also known as randomized controlled experiments (RCTs), are the gold standard for evaluating the impact of new policies, products, or decisions. However, these tests can be costly in terms of time and resources, potentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Shima Nassiri , Mohsen Bayati , Joe Cooprider

Unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects have been emphasized in the recent policy evaluation literature (see e.g., Heckman and Vytlacil, 2005). This paper proposes a nonparametric test for unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects in a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-17 Yu-Chin Hsu , Ta-Cheng Huang , Haiqing Xu

This paper provides a general framework for testing instrument validity in heterogeneous causal effect models. The generalization includes the cases where the treatment can be multivalued ordered or unordered. Based on a series of testable…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-11 Zhenting Sun

Background: Sequential positivity is often a necessary assumption for drawing causal inferences, such as through marginal structural modeling. Unfortunately, verification of this assumption can be challenging because it usually relies on…

In this article, we aim to provide a general and complete understanding of semi-supervised (SS) causal inference for treatment effects. Specifically, we consider two such estimands: (a) the average treatment effect and (b) the quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Guorong Dai

Foundation vision, audio, and language models enable zero-shot performance on downstream tasks via their latent representations. Recently, unsupervised learning of data group structure with deep learning methods has gained popularity.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Javier Salazar Cavazos

AB testing evaluates the difference between a control and a treatment in a statistically rigorous manner. Continuous monitoring allows statistical evaluation of an AB test as it proceeds. One goal of continuous monitoring is early stopping…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Eric Bax , Alex Shtoff

Exhaustive subgroup treatment effect plots are constructed by displaying all subgroup treatment effects of interest against subgroup sample size, providing a useful overview of the observed treatment effect heterogeneity in a clinical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Björn Bornkamp , Jiarui Lu , Frank Bretz

Current approaches to A/B testing in networks focus on limiting interference, the concern that treatment effects can "spill over" from treatment nodes to control nodes and lead to biased causal effect estimation. Prominent methods for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

In subgroup analysis, testing the existence of a subgroup with a differential treatment effect serves as protection against spurious subgroup discovery. Despite its importance, this hypothesis testing possesses a complicated nature:…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-21 Shota Takeishi