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In this paper we develop a novel approach for estimating large and sparse dynamic factor models using variational inference, also allowing for missing data. Inspired by Bayesian variable selection, we apply slab-and-spike priors onto the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We consider the problem of modeling the dynamics of continuous spatial-temporal processes represented by irregular samples through both space and time. Such processes occur in sensor networks, citizen science, multi-robot systems, and many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Erich Merrill , Stefan Lee , Li Fuxin , Thomas G. Dietterich , Alan Fern

Devising efficient algorithms to solve continuously-varying strongly convex optimization programs is key in many applications, from control systems to signal processing and machine learning. In this context, solving means to find and track…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-09 Andrea Simonetto

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

We consider the problem of sampling from a posterior distribution arising in Bayesian inverse problems in science, engineering, and imaging. Our method belongs to the family of independence Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) sampling algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Youguang Chen , George Biros

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We seek to extract a small number of representative scenarios from large panel data that are consistent with sample moments. Among two novel algorithms, the first identifies scenarios that have not been observed before, and comes with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-06 Michael Multerer , Paul Schneider , Rohan Sen

In this paper, we investigate dynamic feature selection within multivariate time-series scenario, a common occurrence in clinical prediction monitoring where each feature corresponds to a bio-test result. Many existing feature selection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Yutong Chen , Jiandong Gao , Ji Wu

To maintain the accuracy of supervised learning models in the presence of evolving data streams, we provide temporally-biased sampling schemes that weight recent data most heavily, with inclusion probabilities for a given data item decaying…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2019-06-14 Brian Hentschel , Peter J. Haas , Yuanyuan Tian

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

Autoregressive models (ARMs) currently hold state-of-the-art performance in likelihood-based modeling of image and audio data. Generally, neural network based ARMs are designed to allow fast inference, but sampling from these models is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Auke Wiggers , Emiel Hoogeboom

Differential network is an important tool to capture the changes of conditional correlations under two sample cases. In this paper, we introduce a fast iterative algorithm to recover the differential network for high-dimensional data. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-23 Zhou Tang , Zhangsheng Yu , Cheng Wang

Diffusion models are a remarkably effective way of learning and sampling from a distribution $p(x)$. In posterior sampling, one is also given a measurement model $p(y \mid x)$ and a measurement $y$, and would like to sample from $p(x \mid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Shivam Gupta , Ajil Jalal , Aditya Parulekar , Eric Price , Zhiyang Xun

We give an algorithm to determine if the dynamical system generated by a positive automorphism of the free group can also be generated by a self-induced interval exchange transformation. The algorithm effectively yields the interval…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-04-04 Yann Jullian

For model-free reinforcement learning, one of the main difficulty of stochastic Bellman residual minimization is the double sampling problem, i.e., while only one single sample for the next state is available in the model-free setting, two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-30 Yuhua Zhu , Lexing Ying

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

Dynamic sampling mechanisms in deep learning architectures have demonstrated utility across many computer vision models, though the theoretical analysis of these structures has not yet been unified. In this paper we connect the various…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Dario Morle , Reid Zaffino

We propose a probabilistic model to infer supervised latent variables in the Hamming space from observed data. Our model allows simultaneous inference of the number of binary latent variables, and their values. The latent variables preserve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Novi Quadrianto , Viktoriia Sharmanska , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose a score-based generative algorithm for sampling from power-scaled priors and likelihoods within the Bayesian inference framework. Our algorithm enables flexible control over prior-likelihood influence without requiring retraining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Huseyin Tuna Erdinc , Yunlin Zeng , Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Felix J. Herrmann

We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder