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Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

This paper aims at analyzing the regularization effect that data augmentation induces on supervised regression methods in the proportional regime, where the number of covariates grows proportionally to the number of samples. We provide a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Lucas Morisset , Alain Durmus , Adrien Hardy

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

In a meta-analysis, it is important to specify a model that adequately describes the effect-size distribution of the underlying population of studies. The conventional normal fixed-effect and normal random-effects models assume a normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-21 George Karabatsos , Elizabeth Talbott , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper, we study data-dependent generalization error bounds exhibiting a mild dependency on the number of classes, making them suitable for multi-class learning with a large number of label classes. The bounds generally hold for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-01 Yunwen Lei , Urun Dogan , Ding-Xuan Zhou , Marius Kloft

The generalization error of a learning algorithm refers to the discrepancy between the loss of a learning algorithm on training data and that on unseen testing data. Various information-theoretic bounds on the generalization error have been…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

In this work, we upper bound the generalization error of batch learning algorithms trained on samples drawn from a mixing stochastic process (i.e., a dependent data source) both in expectation and with high probability. Unlike previous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Sagnik Chatterjee , Manuj Mukherjee , Alhad Sethi

Providing generalization guarantees for stochastic optimization algorithms remains a key challenge in learning theory. Recently, numerous works demonstrated the impact of the geometric properties of optimization trajectories on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Mario Tuci , Lennart Bastian , Benjamin Dupuis , Nassir Navab , Tolga Birdal , Umut Şimşekli

Recent progress has been made in establishing normal approximation bounds in terms of the Wasserstein-$p$ distance for i.i.d. and locally dependent random variables. However, for $p > 1$, no such results have been demonstrated for dependent…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-25 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

We establish in-expectation and tail bounds on the generalization error of representation learning type algorithms. The bounds are in terms of the relative entropy between the distribution of the representations extracted from the training…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi , Piotr Krasnowski

Traditional meta-analysis assumes that the effect sizes estimated in individual studies follow a Gaussian distribution. However, this distributional assumption is not always satisfied in practice, leading to potentially biased results. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Wei Liang , Haicheng Huang , Hongsheng Dai , Yinghui Wei

We analyze the generalization and robustness of the batched weighted average algorithm for V-geometrically ergodic Markov data. This algorithm is a good alternative to the empirical risk minimization algorithm when the latter suffers from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-08-13 Nguyen Viet Cuong , Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-02-23 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li

We study the average case performance of multi-task Gaussian process (GP) regression as captured in the learning curve, i.e. the average Bayes error for a chosen task versus the total number of examples $n$ for all tasks. For GP covariances…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-11-05 Simon R. F. Ashton , Peter Sollich

Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

An additive noise channel is considered, in which the distribution of the noise is nonparametric and unknown. The problem of learning encoders and decoders based on noise samples is considered. For uncoded communication systems, the problem…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Nir Weinberger