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相关论文: Randomization does not imply unconfoundedness

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Although complete randomization ensures covariate balance on average, the chance for observing significant differences between treatment and control covariate distributions increases with many covariates. Rerandomization discards…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-15 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

Comparison and contrast are the basic means to unveil causation and learn which treatments work. To build good comparison groups, randomized experimentation is key, yet often infeasible. In such non-experimental settings, we illustrate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

This is a review of the issue of randomness in quantum mechanics, with special emphasis on its ambiguity; for example, randomness has different antipodal relationships to determinism, computability, and compressibility. Following a…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2020-02-19 Klaas Landsman

Estimation of social influence in networks can be substantially biased in observational studies due to homophily and network correlation in exposure to exogenous events. Randomized experiments, in which the researcher intervenes in the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-09-28 Sean J. Taylor , Dean Eckles

Machine learning applications often require calibrated predictions, e.g. a 90\% credible interval should contain the true outcome 90\% of the times. However, typical definitions of calibration only require this to hold on average, and offer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-10 Shengjia Zhao , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

We present an optimized rerandomization design procedure for a non-sequential treatment-control experiment. Randomized experiments are the gold standard for finding causal effects in nature. But sometimes random assignments result in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Adam Kapelner , Abba M. Krieger , Michael Sklar , David Azriel

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud

Observational cohort studies with oversampled exposed subjects are typically implemented to understand the causal effect of a rare exposure. Because the distribution of exposed subjects in the sample differs from the source population,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Sherri Rose

Randomization is a powerful tool that endows algorithms with remarkable properties. For instance, randomized algorithms excel in adversarial settings, often surpassing the worst-case performance of deterministic algorithms with large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Johannes von Oswald , Seijin Kobayashi , Yassir Akram , Angelika Steger

No man is an island, as individuals interact and influence one another daily in our society. When social influence takes place in experiments on a population of interconnected individuals, the treatment on a unit may affect the outcomes of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-30 Edward K. Kao

With many pretreatment covariates and treatment factors, the classical factorial experiment often fails to balance covariates across multiple factorial effects simultaneously. Therefore, it is intuitive to restrict the randomization of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-31 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

Randomized controlled trials are not only the golden standard in medicine and vaccine trials but have spread to many other disciplines like behavioral economics, making it an important interdisciplinary tool for scientists. When designing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Tassilo Schwarz

Randomness is a crucial resource for a broad range of important applications, such as Monte Carlo simulation and computation, generative artificial intelligence and cryptography. But what is randomness? A widely accepted definition has…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-10-01 Mario Stipčević

We consider the following comparative effectiveness scenario. There are two treatments for a particular medical condition: a randomized experiment has demonstrated mediocre effectiveness for the first treatment, while a non-randomized study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-23 Brian Knaeble , Erich Kummerfeld

When engagement with a randomized trial is driven by factors that affect the outcome or when trial engagement directly affects the outcome independent of treatment, the average treatment effect among trial participants is unlikely to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Issa J. Dahabreh , James M. Robins , Sebastien J-P. A. Haneuse , Miguel A. Hernán

This paper presents the foundations of a computer oriented approach for preparing a list of random treatment assignments to be adopted in randomised controlled trials. Software is presented which can be applied in the earliest stage of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-12 N. S. Santos-Magalhaes , H. M. de Oliveira , A. J. Alves

We develop randomization-based tests for heterogeneous treatment effects in the presence of network interference. Leveraging the exposure mapping framework, we study a broad class of null hypotheses that represent various forms of constant…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-25 Julius Owusu

In experimental design and causal inference, it may happen that the treatment is not defined on individual experimental units, but rather on pairs or, more generally, on groups of units. For example, teachers may choose pairs of students…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-24 Panos Toulis , Alexander Volfovsky , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Randomized experiments on a network often involve interference between connected units; i.e., a situation in which an individual's treatment can affect the response of another individual. Current approaches to deal with interference, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Guillaume Basse , Edoardo Airoldi