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Numerical simulation models associated with hydraulic engineering take a wide array of data into account to produce predictions: rainfall contribution to the drainage basin (characterized by soil nature, infiltration capacity and moisture),…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Corentin J. Lapeyre , Nicolas Cazard , Pamphile T. Roy , Sophie Ricci , Fabrice Zaoui

Machine learning models can achieve high predictive accuracy in hydrological applications but often lack physical interpretability. The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) provides a physics-aware artificial intelligence (AI) framework that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Mohammad A. Farmani , Hoshin V. Gupta , Ali Behrangi , Muhammad Jawad , Sadaf Moghisi , Guo-Yue Niu

Flooding is one of the most disastrous natural hazards, responsible for substantial economic losses. A predictive model for flood-induced financial damages is useful for many applications such as climate change adaptation planning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Joaquin Salas , Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

In response to climate change, assessing crop productivity under extreme weather conditions is essential to enhance food security. Crop simulation models, which align with physical processes, offer explainability but often perform poorly.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Miro Miranda , Marcela Charfuelan , Andreas Dengel

Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

In recent years, the integration of deep learning techniques with remote sensing technology has revolutionized the way natural hazards, such as floods, are monitored and managed. However, existing methods for flood segmentation using remote…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Vicky Feliren , Fithrothul Khikmah , Irfan Dwiki Bhaswara , Bahrul I. Nasution , Alex M. Lechner , Muhamad Risqi U. Saputra

We introduce an ensemble learning post-processing methodology for probabilistic hydrological modelling. This methodology generates numerous point predictions by applying a single hydrological model, yet with different parameter values drawn…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Demetris Koutsoyiannis , Alberto Montanari

Technologies such as aerial photogrammetry allow production of 3D topographic data including complex environments such as urban areas. Therefore, it is possible to create High Resolution (HR) Digital Elevation Models (DEM) incorporating…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-04-25 M Abily , O Delestre , P Gourbesville , N Bertrand , C. -M Duluc , Y Richet

Hydrodynamic flood modeling improves hydrologic and hydraulic prediction of storm events. However, the computationally intensive numerical solutions required for high-resolution hydrodynamics have historically prevented their implementation…

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

Understanding the spatial extent of extreme precipitation is necessary for determining flood risk and adequately designing infrastructure (e.g., stormwater pipes) to withstand such hazards. While environmental phenomena typically exhibit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Raphaël Huser

Although neural networks are conventionally optimized towards zero training loss, it has been recently learned that targeting a non-zero training loss threshold, referred to as a flood level, often enables better test time generalization.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Wonho Bae , Yi Ren , Mohamad Osama Ahmed , Frederick Tung , Danica J. Sutherland , Gabriel L. Oliveira

With increasing urbanization, in recent years there has been a growing interest and need in monitoring and analyzing urban flood events. Social media, as a new data source, can provide real-time information for flood monitoring. The social…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-13 Yu Feng , Claus Brenner , Monika Sester

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Extreme streamflow is a key indicator of flood risk, and quantifying the changes in its distribution under non-stationary climate conditions is key to mitigating the impact of flooding events. We propose a non-stationary process mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 Reetam Majumder , Brian Reich

Floods cause serious problems around the world. Responding quickly and effectively requires accurate and timely information about the affected areas. The effective use of Remote Sensing images for accurate flood detection requires specific…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Vladyslav Polushko , Damjan Hatic , Ronald Rösch , Thomas März , Markus Rauhut , Andreas Weinmann

Visualization is an essential operation when assessing the risk of rare events such as coastal or river floodings. The goal is to display a few prototype events that best represent the probability law of the observed phenomenon, a task…

Flood frequency analysis is usually based on the fitting of an extreme value distribution to the local streamflow series. However, when the local data series is short, frequency analysis results become unreliable. Regional frequency…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-02-05 Mathieu Ribatet , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

Forecast models in statistical seismology are commonly evaluated with log-likelihood scores of the full distribution P(n) of earthquake numbers, yet heavy tails and out-of-range observations can bias model ranking. We develop a tail-aware…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-02-24 Jiawei Li , Qingyuan Zhang , Didier Sornette