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A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

Recent studies have demonstrated that it is possible to combine machine learning with data assimilation to reconstruct the dynamics of a physical model partially and imperfectly observed. Data assimilation is used to estimate the system…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita

The idea of using machine learning (ML) methods to reconstruct the dynamics of a system is the topic of recent studies in the geosciences, in which the key output is a surrogate model meant to emulate the dynamical model. In order to treat…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-22 Alban Farchi , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Marc Bocquet

Data assimilation is the process of fusing information from imperfect computer simulations with noisy, sparse measurements of reality to obtain improved estimates of the state or parameters of a dynamical system of interest. The data…

Reduced-order modelling and low-dimensional surrogate models generated using machine learning algorithms have been widely applied in high-dimensional dynamical systems to improve the algorithmic efficiency. In this paper, we develop a…

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

Modern data-driven surrogate models for weather forecasting provide accurate short-term predictions but inaccurate and nonphysical long-term forecasts. This paper investigates online weather prediction using machine learning surrogates…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-12 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

The nudging data assimilation algorithm is a powerful tool used to forecast phenomena of interest given incomplete and noisy observations. Machine learning is becoming increasingly popular in data assimilation given its ease of computation…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-11-24 Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Randy Price

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic…

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Satellite observations play a critical role in numerical weather prediction where they are assimilated through an observation operator that maps model states to radiances. In the traditional Ensemble Kalman Filter, these observations are…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Gian Luca Buono , Stefanie Hollborn , Roland Potthast , Jörg Schäfer , Martin Simon

In data assimilation, state estimation is not straightforward when the observation operator is unknown. This study proposes a method for composing a surrogate operator when the true operator is unknown. A neural network is used to improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-03 Kosuke Akita , Yuto Miyatake , Daisuke Furihata

There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

An alternative data-driven modeling approach has been proposed and employed to gain fundamental insights into robot motion interaction with granular terrain at certain length scales. The approach is based on an integration of dimension…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Guanjin Wang , Xiangxue Zhao , Shapour Azarm , Balakumar Balachandran

We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is in the form of noisy partial measurements of the past and present state of the dynamical system. Recently there have been several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Alexander Wikner , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

A multi-fidelity surrogate model for highly nonlinear multiscale problems is proposed. It is based on the introduction of two different surrogate models and an adaptive on-the-fly switching. The two concurrent surrogates are built…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-05-03 Felix Fritzen , Mauricio Fernández , Fredrik Larsson

We study unconstrained Online Linear Optimization with Lipschitz losses. Motivated by the pursuit of instance optimality, we propose a new algorithm that simultaneously achieves ($i$) the AdaGrad-style second order gradient adaptivity; and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Zhiyu Zhang , Heng Yang , Ashok Cutkosky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis
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