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The Shapley effects are global sensitivity indices: they quantify the impact of each input variable on the output variable in a model. In this work, we suggest new estimators of these sensitivity indices. When the input distribution is…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-14 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker

Quantifying the effect of uncertainties in systems where only point evaluations in the stochastic domain but no regularity conditions are available is limited to sampling-based techniques. This work presents an adaptive sequential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Sebastian Krumscheid , Per Pettersson

Given a loss function $F:\mathcal{X} \rightarrow \R^+$ that can be written as the sum of losses over a large set of inputs $a_1,\ldots, a_n$, it is often desirable to approximate $F$ by subsampling the input points. Strong theoretical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-20 Anant Raj , Cameron Musco , Lester Mackey

In this paper, we investigate a new framework for image classification that adaptively generates spatial representations. Our strategy is based on a sequential process that learns to explore the different regions of any image in order to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-02-12 Gabriel Dulac-Arnold , Ludovic Denoyer , Nicolas Thome , Matthieu Cord , Patrick Gallinari

The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Hee-Geon Kang , Sunggon Kim

This paper explores the application of active learning strategies to adaptively learn Sobol indices for global sensitivity analysis. We demonstrate that active learning for Sobol indices poses unique challenges due to the definition of the…

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter sensitivity in models of complex dynamical systems through the lens of information geometry. We calculate the sensitivity of model behavior to variations in parameters. In most cases,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-07-17 Benjamin L. Francis , Mark K. Transtrum

In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-30 Chun Pong Lau

This paper introduces a novel approach to quantifying ecological resilience in biological systems, particularly focusing on noisy systems responding to episodic disturbances with sudden adaptations. Incorporating concepts from…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-12-24 Jorge M. Ramirez , Juan M. Restrepo , Valerio Lucarini , David Weston

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

Efficient sampling in biomolecular simulations is critical for accurately capturing the complex dynamical behaviors of biological systems. Adaptive sampling techniques aim to improve efficiency by focusing computational resources on the…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2024-10-22 Hassan Nadeem , Diwakar Shukla

In many practical settings one can sequentially and adaptively guide the collection of future data, based on information extracted from data collected previously. These sequential data collection procedures are known by different names,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-28 Ervin Tánczos , Rui M. Castro

We study the problem of unsupervised domain adaption in the universal scenario, in which only some of the classes are shared between the source and target domains. We present a scoring scheme that is effective in identifying the samples of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-01-16 Omri Lifshitz , Lior Wolf

The availability of data on economic uncertainty sparked a lot of interest in models that can timely quantify episodes of international spillovers of uncertainty. This challenging task involves trading off estimation accuracy for more…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-07 Niels Gillmann , Ostap Okhrin

We extend the varying coefficient functional linear model to the nonlinear model and propose a varying coefficient functional additive model. The proposed method can represent the relationship between functional predictors and a scalar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Hidetoshi Matsui

Adaptive sampling results in dramatic improvements in the recovery of sparse signals in white Gaussian noise. A sequential adaptive sampling-and-refinement procedure called Distilled Sensing (DS) is proposed and analyzed. DS is a form of…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-05-31 Jarvis Haupt , Rui Castro , Robert Nowak

The optimization of high dimensional functions is a key issue in engineering problems but it frequently comes at a cost that is not acceptable since it usually involves a complex and expensive computer code. Engineers often overcome this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Adrien Spagnol , Rodolphe Le Riche , Sebastien Da Veiga

Markov chain sampling methods that automatically adapt to characteristics of the distribution being sampled can be constructed by exploiting the principle that one can sample from a distribution by sampling uniformly from the region under…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen