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Estimating uncertainty in deep learning models is critical for reliable decision-making in high-stakes applications such as medical imaging. Prior research has established that the difference between an input sample and its reconstructed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Xinran Xu , Li Rong Wang , Xiuyi Fan

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Tal Kachman , Michal Moshkovitz , Michal Rosen-Zvi

Deep learning models struggle with uncertainty estimation. Many approaches are either computationally infeasible or underestimate uncertainty. We investigate \textit{BatchEnsemble} as a general and scalable method for uncertainty estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Morten Blørstad , Herman Jangsett Mostein , Nello Blaser , Pekka Parviainen

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performances in many important domains, including medical diagnosis, security, and autonomous driving. In these domains where safety is highly critical, an erroneous decision can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-12 Aryan Mobiny , Hien V. Nguyen , Supratik Moulik , Naveen Garg , Carol C. Wu

Uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques -- such as the Gaussian process (GP), Bayesian neural networks (BNN), Monte Carlo dropout (MCDropout) -- aim to improve the interpretability of machine learning models by assigning an estimated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yehao Liu , Matteo Pagliardini , Tatjana Chavdarova , Sebastian U. Stich

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Reliable uncertainty quantification on RUL prediction is crucial for informative decision-making in predictive maintenance. In this context, we assess some of the latest developments in the field of uncertainty quantification for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Luis Basora , Arthur Viens , Manuel Arias Chao , Xavier Olive

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

We introduce a methodology for designing and training deep neural networks (DNN) that we call "Deep Regression Ensembles" (DRE). It bridges the gap between DNN and two-layer neural networks trained with random feature regression. Each layer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Antoine Didisheim , Bryan Kelly , Semyon Malamud

Deep neural networks are in the limelight of machine learning with their excellent performance in many data-driven applications. However, they can lead to inaccurate predictions when queried in out-of-distribution data points, which can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Yana Stoyanova , Soroush Ghandi , Maryam Tavakol

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Deep learning (DL) models are capable of successfully exploiting latent representations in MR data and have become state-of-the-art for accelerated MRI reconstruction. However, undersampling the measurements in k-space as well as the over-…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-09 Mevan Ekanayake , Kamlesh Pawar , Gary Egan , Zhaolin Chen

Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying neural networks (NNs) in real-world applications. While existing calibration techniques often rely on post-hoc adjustments or coarse-grained binning methods, they remain limited in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

Medical anomaly detection (AD) is crucial in pathological identification and localization. Current methods typically rely on uncertainty estimation in deep ensembles to detect anomalies, assuming that ensemble learners should agree on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Yi Gu , Yi Lin , Kwang-Ting Cheng , Hao Chen
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