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We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

Instrumental variable regression is a common approach for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, identifying valid instruments is often difficult in practice. In this paper, we propose a novel method based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Gregor Steiner , Jeremie Houssineau , Mark F. J. Steel

We address the problem of causal effect estimation where hidden confounders are present, with a focus on two settings: instrumental variable regression with additional observed confounders, and proxy causal learning. Our approach uses a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Haotian Sun , Antoine Moulin , Tongzheng Ren , Arthur Gretton , Bo Dai

Conditional Variational Auto Encoders (VAE) are gathering significant attention as an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tool. The codes in the latent space provide a theoretically sound way to produce counterfactuals, i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Nicolas Vercheval , Aleksandra Pizurica

Much research has been devoted to the problem of learning fair representations; however, they do not explicitly the relationship between latent representations. In many real-world applications, there may be causal relationships between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Jixue Liu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Many policy evaluations using instrumental variable (IV) methods include individuals who interact with each other, potentially violating the standard IV assumptions. This paper defines and partially identifies direct and spillover effects…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-17 Didier Nibbering , Matthijs Oosterveen

A key condition for obtaining reliable estimates of the causal effect of a treatment is overlap (a.k.a. positivity): the distributions of the features used to perform causal adjustment cannot be too different in the treated and control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-14 Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Instrumental variables (eliminate the bias that afflicts least-squares identification of dynamical systems through noisy data, yet traditionally relies on external instruments that are seldom available for nonlinear time series data. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Recommendation systems aim to predict users' feedback on items not exposed to them. Confounding bias arises due to the presence of unmeasured variables (e.g., the socio-economic status of a user) that can affect both a user's exposure and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Qing Zhang , Xiaoying Zhang , Yang Liu , Hongning Wang , Min Gao , Jiheng Zhang , Ruocheng Guo

In the estimation of causal effects, one common method for removing the influence of confounders is to adjust the variables that satisfy the back-door criterion. However, it is not always possible to uniquely determine sets of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Atsushi Noda , Takashi Isozaki

This research addresses the challenge of conducting interpretable causal inference between a binary treatment and its resulting outcome when not all confounders are known. Confounders are factors that have an influence on both the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Sohaib Kiani , Jared Barton , Jon Sushinsky , Lynda Heimbach , Bo Luo

Standard instrumental variables (IV) methods identify a Local Average Treatment Effect under monotonicity, which rules out defiers. In many empirical environments, however, distinct instruments may induce heterogeneous and even opposing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-16 Johann Caro-Burnett

Many weak instrumental variables (IVs) are routinely used in the health and social sciences to improve identification and inference of the treatment effect of interest, along with a broad collection of data on potential confounding factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Di Zhang , Xuanyu Li , Baoluo Sun

Causal representation learning seeks to recover latent factors that generate observational data through a mixing function. Needing assumptions on latent structures or relationships to achieve identifiability in general, prior works often…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Kwonho Kim , Heejeong Nam , Inwoo Hwang , Sanghack Lee

Biological imaging data are often partially confounded or contain unwanted variability. Examples of such phenomena include variable lighting across microscopy image captures, stain intensity variation in histological slides, and batch…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-11-28 Craig A. Glastonbury , Michael Ferlaino , Christoffer Nellåker , Cecilia M. Lindgren

Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental tool in various fields of science. While existing approaches are typically designed for a single dataset, we often need to handle multiple datasets with non-identical variable sets…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Hirofumi Suzuki , Kentaro Kanamori , Takuya Takagi , Thong Pham , Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

Estimating direct and indirect causal effects from observational data is crucial to understanding the causal mechanisms and predicting the behaviour under different interventions. Causal mediation analysis is a method that is often used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Jixue Liu , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

Instrumental variable (IV) strategies are widely used in political science to establish causal relationships. However, the identifying assumptions required by an IV design are demanding, and it remains challenging for researchers to assess…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-08 Apoorva Lal , Mac Lockhart , Yiqing Xu , Ziwen Zu

We introduce Support Decomposition Variational Inference (SDVI), a new variational inference (VI) approach for probabilistic programs with stochastic support. Existing approaches to this problem rely on designing a single global variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth