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Viral spread on large graphs has many real-life applications such as malware propagation in computer networks and rumor (or misinformation) spread in Twitter-like online social networks. Although viral spread on large graphs has been…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-09 Milan Bradonjić , Michael Molloy , Guanhua Yan

This paper studies the SI1SI2S spreading model of two competing behaviors over a bilayer network. We address the problem of determining resource allocation strategies which design a spreading network so as to ensure the extinction of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-12-17 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

Epidemic spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. Examples include the spreading of diseases, information, and computer viruses. Epidemics can spread by local spreading, where infected nodes can only infect a limited set of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-02 Changwang Zhang , Shi Zhou , Joel C. Miller , Ingemar J. Cox , Benjamin M. Chain

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Despite extensive work on the interplay between traffic dynamics and epidemic spreading, the control of epidemic spreading by routing strategies has not received adequate attention. In this paper, we study the impact of efficient routing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-11-23 Han-Xin Yang , Zhi-Xi Wu

We study the problem of containing spreading processes in arbitrary directed networks by distributing protection resources throughout the nodes of the network. We consider two types of protection resources are available: (i) Preventive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

The paper presents an algorithm for syndromic surveillance of an epidemic outbreak formulated in the context of stochastic nonlinear filtering. The dynamics of the epidemic is modeled using a generalized compartmental epidemiological model…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-10-24 Alex Skvortsov , Branko Ristic

Scenario reduction algorithms can be an effective means to provide a tractable description of the uncertainty in optimal control problems. However, they might significantly compromise the performance of the controlled system. In this paper,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-12 Francesco Cordiano , Bart De Schutter

We study how international flights can facilitate the spread of an epidemic to a worldwide scale. We combine an infrastructure network of flight connections with a population density dataset to derive the mobility network, and then we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-26 Hugo Dolan , Riccardo Rastelli

Machine learning systems deployed in the real world must operate under dynamic and often unpredictable distribution shifts. This challenges the validity of statistical safety assurances on the system's risk established beforehand. Common…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Alexander Timans , Rajeev Verma , Eric Nalisnick , Christian A. Naesseth

In this paper we introduce a statistical inference framework for estimating the contagion source from a partially observed contagion spreading process on an arbitrary network structure. The framework is based on a maximum likelihood…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-12 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Alen Lancic , Hrvoje Stefancic , Mile Sikic , Tomislav Smuc

This article introduces a decentralized robust optimization framework for safe multi-agent control under uncertainty. Although stochastic noise has been the primary form of modeling uncertainty in such systems, these formulations might fall…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-19 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We study a distributed framework for stochastic optimization which is inspired by models of collective motion found in nature (e.g., swarming) with mild communication requirements. Specifically, we analyze a scheme in which each one of $N >…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-08-08 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

The spread of invasive species to new areas threatens the stability of ecosystems and causes major economic losses in agriculture and forestry. We propose a novel approach to minimizing the spread of an invasive species given a limited…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-13 Amrita Gupta , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Bistra Dilkina , Hongyuan Zha

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

Resource support between individuals is of particular importance in controlling or mitigating epidemic spreading, especially during pandemics. Whereas there remains the question of how we can protect ourselves from being infected while…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-10 Xiaolong Chen , Quanhui Liu , Ruijie Wang , Qing Li , Wei Wang

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Hanlin Sun , David Saad , Andrey Y. Lokhov