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Stochastic gradient MCMC (SGMCMC) offers a scalable alternative to traditional MCMC, by constructing an unbiased estimate of the gradient of the log-posterior with a small, uniformly-weighted subsample of the data. While efficient to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

We establish an ordering criterion for the asymptotic variances of two consistent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimators: an importance sampling (IS) estimator, based on an approximate reversible chain and subsequent IS weighting, and a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Jordan Franks , Matti Vihola

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, are widely used for Bayesian inference. One of the most important issues for any MCMC method is the convergence of the Markov chain, which depends…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-20 Luca Martino , Jesse Read , David Luengo

We propose Annealed Langevin Monte Carlo for Flow ODE Sampling (ALMC-ODE), a method for generating samples from unnormalized target distributions, with a particular emphasis on multimodal densities that are challenging for standard Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Hanwen Huang

Bayesian inference often faces a trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy. We propose an adaptive workflow that integrates rapid amortized inference with gold-standard MCMC techniques to achieve a favorable combination of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Chengkun Li , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev , Luigi Acerbi , Marvin Schmitt

Ising annealer is a promising quantum-inspired computing architecture for combinatorial optimization problems. In this paper, we introduce an Ising annealer based on the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, which updates the variables of all dimensions…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-15 Hao Wang , Zixuan Liu , Zhixin Xie , Langyu Li , Zibo Miao , Wei Cui , Yu Pan

Importance sampling (IS) is a powerful Monte Carlo (MC) technique for approximating intractable integrals, for instance in Bayesian inference. The performance of IS relies heavily on the appropriate choice of the so-called proposal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ali Mousavi , Víctor Elvira

We introduce a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that is designed to sample from target distributions with irregular geometry using an adaptive scheme. In cases where targets exhibit non-Gaussian behaviour, we propose that adaption…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Ameer Dharamshi , Vivian Ngo , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This note introduces a method for sampling Ising models with mixed boundary conditions. As an application of annealed importance sampling and the Swendsen-Wang algorithm, the method adopts a sequence of intermediate distributions that keeps…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-05-19 Lexing Ying

Over decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely studied, with a typical application being the quantification of posterior uncertainties in Bayesian system identification of structural dynamic models. To address the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Xianghao Meng , Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Kui Jiang , Hui Li

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

A large class of spatial models contains intractable normalizing functions, such as spatial lattice models, interaction spatial point processes, and social network models. Bayesian inference for such models is challenging since the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Jong Hyeon Lee , Jongmin Kim , Heesang Lee , Jaewoo Park

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo based approximations of expectations of random variables such that their laws are only available via certain discretizations. Sampling from the discretized versions of these laws can typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Dan Crisan , Pierre Del Moral , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

We consider geothermal inverse problems and uncertainty quantification from a Bayesian perspective. Our main goal is to make standard, `out-of-the-box' Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling more feasible for complex simulation models by…

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

Intractable posterior distributions of parameters with intractable normalizing constants depending upon the parameters are known as doubly intractable posterior distributions. The terminology itself indicates that obtaining Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Sourabh Bhattacharya

Practitioners of Bayesian statistics have long depended on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to obtain samples from intractable posterior distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC algorithms are typically serial, and do not scale to the large…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-11 Maxim Rabinovich , Elaine Angelino , Michael I. Jordan

Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference of target posterior distributions in machine learning is predominately conducted via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants. This is due to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo based samplers ability to suppress…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-06 Wilson Tsakane Mongwe , Rendani Mbuvha , Tshilidzi Marwala