相关论文: Proof of the impossibility of probabilistic induct…
This article solves the Hume's problem of induction using a probabilistic approach. From the probabilistic perspective, the core task of induction is to estimate the probability of an event and judge the accuracy of the estimation.…
We take an argument of G\"odel's from his ground-breaking 1931 paper, generalize it, and examine its validity. The argument in question is this: the sentence $G$ says about itself that it is not provable, and $G$ is indeed not provable;…
This note gives an informal overview of the proof in our paper "Borel Conjecture and Dual Borel Conjecture", see arXiv:1105.0823.
First the crucial but very confidential fact is brought into evidence that, as Kolmogorov himself repeatedly claimed, there exists no abstract theory of probabilities, simply because the factual concept of probability is itself unachieved:…
Assume that the Riemann hypothesis holds for Dedekind zeta functions. Under this assumption, we prove that a degree $d$ polynomial with random multiplicative $\pm1$ coefficients is irreducible in $\mathbb{Z}[x]$ with probability…
We prove the explicit formula for the probability of a run of r successes in n trials.
The proofs first generated by automated theorem provers are far from optimal by any measure of simplicity. In this paper I describe a technique for simplifying automated proofs. Hopefully this discussion will stimulate interest in the…
This paper suggests a new interpretation of the Dempster-Shafer theory in terms of probabilistic interpretation of plausibility. A new rule of combination of independent evidence is shown and its preservation of interpretation is…
In this article we prove the impossibility of some disentanglement puzzles, first building mathematical models that reflect the essential characteristics of these puzzles.
I present a proof of the quantum probability rule from decision-theoretic assumptions, in the context of the Everett interpretation. The basic ideas behind the proof are those presented in Deutsch's recent proof of the probability rule, but…
In recent years, numerous techniques were developed to automatically prove termination of different kinds of probabilistic programs. However, there are only few automated methods to disprove their termination. In this paper, we present the…
This paper studies models in which hypothesis tests have trivial power, that is, power smaller than size. This testing impossibility, or impossibility type A, arises when any alternative is not distinguishable from the null. We also study…
We give a proof of Cox's Theorem on the product rule and sum rule for conditional plausibility without assuming continuity or differentiablity of plausibility. Instead, we extend the notion of plausibility to apply to unknowns giving them…
This is a reformulation and refutation of a proposed proof of the Riemann hypothesis published in 2013 (arXiv:1305.0323) and in 2014 (arXiv:1402.2822). Proceeding by contradiction, the author wants to prove that if zeta(s)=0 where 1/2<Re…
Can a physicist make only a finite number of errors in the eternal quest to uncover the law of nature? This millennium-old philosophical problem, known as inductive inference, lies at the heart of epistemology. Despite its significance to…
I argue that the Oxford school Everett interpretation is internally incoherent, because we cannot claim that in an Everettian universe the kinds of reasoning we have used to arrive at our beliefs about quantum mechanics would lead us to…
In 1978, Apery has given sequences of rational approximations to $\zeta(2)$ and $\zeta(3)$ yielding the irrationality of each of these numbers. One of the key ingredient of Apery's proof are second-order difference equations with polynomial…
The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…
This somewhat unusual proof for the fact that the reals are uncountable, which is adapted from one of Bourbaki's proofs in "Fonctions d'une variable reelle", may be of some interest.
A short and direct proof of the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem \`{a} la Amartya Sen's proof of Arrow's impossibility theorem is given.