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Credible causal effect estimation requires treated subjects and controls to be otherwise similar. In observational settings, such as analysis of electronic health records, this is not guaranteed. Investigators must balance background…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Lauren D. Liao , Samuel D. Pimentel

The idea of covariate balance is at the core of causal inference. Inverse propensity weights play a central role because they are the unique set of weights that balance the covariate distributions of different treatment groups. We discuss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-29 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , David A. Hirshberg , José R. Zubizarreta

Bayesian inference for inverse problems involves computing expectations under posterior distributions -- e.g., posterior means, variances, or predictive quantities -- typically via Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. When the quantity of interest…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Ali Siahkoohi , Hyunwoo Oh

Changepoint models enjoy a wide appeal in a variety of disciplines to model the heterogeneity of ordered data. Graphical influence diagnostics to characterize the influence of single observations on changepoint models are, however, lacking.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-23 Ines Wilms , Rebecca Killick , David S. Matteson

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

Over the past two decades, considerable strides have been made in advancing neuroscientific techniques, yet challenges remain in attributing causality to observed associations. This review addresses a fundamental issue in observational…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2025-11-04 Eric W. Bridgeford , Brian S. Caffo , Maya B. Mathur , Russell A. Poldrack

Experimental designs are fundamental for estimating causal effects. In some fields, within-subjects designs, which expose participants to both control and treatment at different time periods, are used to address practical and logistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Justin Ho , Jonathan Min

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

Most causal inference methods focus on estimating marginal average treatment effects, but many important causal estimands depend on the joint distribution of potential outcomes, including the probability of causation and proportions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Zach Shahn , David Madigan

When inferring the causal effect of one variable on another from correlational data, a common practice by professional researchers as well as lay decision makers is to control for some set of exogenous confounding variables. Choosing an…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-31 Ran Spiegler

A probabilistic expert system emulates the decision-making ability of a human expert through a directional graphical model. The first step in building such systems is to understand data generation mechanism. To this end, one may try to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-29 Vahid Partovi Nia , Xinlin Li , Masoud Asgharian , Shoubo Hu , Zhitang Chen , Yanhui Geng

Control variables are included in regression analyses to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome. In this paper, we argue that the estimated effect sizes of controls are unlikely to have a causal interpretation themselves,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-10 Paul Hünermund , Beyers Louw

Deep learning has revolutionized the field of artificial intelligence. Based on the statistical correlations uncovered by deep learning-based methods, computer vision has contributed to tremendous growth in areas like autonomous driving and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Kexuan Zhang , Qiyu Sun , Chaoqiang Zhao , Yang Tang

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

In the causal learning setting, we wish to learn cause-and-effect relationships between variables such that we can correctly infer the effect of an intervention. While the difference between a cyclic structure and an acyclic structure may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Katie Everett , Ian Fischer

Covariate balance is crucial for unconfounded descriptive or causal comparisons. However, lack of balance is common in observational studies. This article considers weighting strategies for balancing covariates. We define a general class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-30 Fan Li , Kari Lock Morgan , Alan M. Zaslavsky

Covariate balance is crucial for unconfounded descriptive or causal comparisons. However, lack of balance is common in observational studies. This article considers weighting strategies for balancing covariates. We define a general class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-17 Fan Li , Kari Lock Morgan , Alan M. Zaslavsky