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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) offer the potential for reliable uncertainty quantification and interpretability, which are critical for trustworthy AI in high-stakes domains. However, existing methods often struggle with issues such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Romeo Sommerfeld , Christian Helms , Ralf Herbrich

Interpretability is crucial for machine learning in many scenarios such as quantitative finance, banking, healthcare, etc. Symbolic regression (SR) is a classic interpretable machine learning method by bridging X and Y using mathematical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-17 Ying Jin , Weilin Fu , Jian Kang , Jiadong Guo , Jian Guo

The count-min sketch (CMS) is a time and memory efficient randomized data structure that provides estimates of tokens' frequencies in a data stream of tokens, i.e. point queries, based on random hashed data. A learning-augmented version of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-14 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Stefano Peluchetti

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

We present a novel approach to ecological risk assessment by recasting the Species Sensitivity Distribution (SSD) method within a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) framework. Widely mandated by environmental regulatory bodies globally, SSD has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Louise Alamichel , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Igor Prünster

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

The choice of tuning parameters in Bayesian variable selection is a critical problem in modern statistics. In particular, for Bayesian linear regression with non-local priors, the scale parameter in the non-local prior density is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-25 Xuan Cao , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

Clustering procedures typically estimate which data points are clustered together, a quantity of primary importance in many analyses. Often used as a preliminary step for dimensionality reduction or to facilitate interpretation, finding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-06 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Nelle Varoquaux , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Few Bayesian methods for analyzing high-dimensional sparse survival data provide scalable variable selection, effect estimation and uncertainty quantification. Such methods often either sacrifice uncertainty quantification by computing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-06 Michael Komodromos , Eric Aboagye , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi , Kolyan Ray

Principal component analysis (PCA) is very popular to perform dimension reduction. The selection of the number of significant components is essential but often based on some practical heuristics depending on the application. Only few works…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Clément Elvira , Pierre Chainais , Nicolas Dobigeon

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to evaluate the causal effect of treatment in a randomized trial where a nonterminal event may be censored by a terminal event, but not vice versa (i.e., semi-competing risks). Based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Yanxun Xu , Daniel Scharfstein , Peter Müller , Michael Daniels

In this work, we study scaling limits of shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) via their connection to Gaussian processes (GPs), with an emphasis on statistical modeling, identifiability, and scalable inference. We first establish a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Gracielle Antunes de Araújo , Flávio B. Gonçalves

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Fanyi Wu , Veronika Lohmanova , Samuel Kaski , Michele Caprio

We consider applying Bayesian Variable Selection Regression, or BVSR, to genome-wide association studies and similar large-scale regression problems. Currently, typical genome-wide association studies measure hundreds of thousands, or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-10-28 Yongtao Guan , Matthew Stephens

We consider priors for several nonparametric Bayesian models which use finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni