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Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

We present a new method to approximate posterior probabilities of Bayesian Network using Deep Neural Network. Experiment results on several public Bayesian Network datasets shows that Deep Neural Network is capable of learning joint…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-12 Jie Jia , Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

Variational flows allow practitioners to learn complex continuous distributions, but approximating discrete distributions remains a challenge. Current methodologies typically embed the discrete target in a continuous space - usually via…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Gian Carlo Diluvi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Trevor Campbell

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

This article explores the optimization of variational approximations for posterior covariances of Gaussian multiway arrays. To achieve this, we establish a natural differential geometric optimization framework on the space using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Quinn Simonis , Martin T. Wells

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Stochastic variational Bayes algorithms have become very popular in the machine learning literature, particularly in the context of nonparametric Bayesian inference. These algorithms replace the true but intractable posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-04 Pedro Regueiro , Abel Rodríguez , Juan Sosa

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

The estimation of directed couplings between the nodes of a network from indirect measurements is a central methodological challenge in scientific fields such as neuroscience, systems biology and economics. Unfortunately, the problem is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Louis Rouillard , Luca Ambrogioni , Demian Wassermann

Solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs) with the variational inference (VI) method is promising but still challenging. The main difficulties arise from two aspects. First, VI methods approximate the posterior distribution…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-23 Yingzhi Xia , Qifeng Liao , Jinglai Li

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

Recently, we and several other authors have written about the possibilities of using stochastic approximation techniques for fitting variational approximations to intractable Bayesian posterior distributions. Naive implementations of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Mean field variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is that it underestimates the uncertainty of model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-27 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick