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Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang

A Copula density estimation method that is based on a finite mixture of heterogeneous parametric copula densities is proposed here. More specifically, the mixture components are Clayton, Frank, Gumbel, T, and normal copula densities, which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-25 Leming Qu , Yang Lu

Variational Bayes methods are popular due to their computational efficiency and adaptability to diverse applications. In specifying the variational family, mean-field classes are commonly used, which enables efficient algorithms such as…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-26 Shitao Fan , Ilsang Ohn , David Dunson , Lizhen Lin

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Variational language models seek to estimate the posterior of latent variables with an approximated variational posterior. The model often assumes the variational posterior to be factorized even when the true posterior is not. The learned…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-09-10 Prince Zizhuang Wang , William Yang Wang

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Robert Salomone , Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

Variational Bayes (VB) is rapidly becoming a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. However, the existing VB algorithms are restricted to cases where the likelihood is tractable, which precludes the use of VB in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Minh-Ngoc Tran , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

In Bayesian analysis, the posterior follows from the data and a choice of a prior and a likelihood. One hopes that the posterior is robust to reasonable variation in the choice of prior and likelihood, since this choice is made by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-09 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Michael Jordan

We propose a unified, yet simple to code, non-conjugate variational Bayes algorithm for posterior approximation of generic Bayesian generalized mixed effect models. Specifically, we consider regression models identified by a linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Cristian Castiglione , Mauro Bernardi

We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling