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Deep learning has the potential to dramatically impact navigation and tracking state estimation problems critical to autonomous vehicles and robotics. Measurement uncertainties in state estimation systems based on Kalman and other Bayes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Rebecca L. Russell , Christopher Reale

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is a central paradigm for turning large language models (LLMs) into reliable problem solvers, especially in logic-heavy domains. Despite its empirical success, it remains unclear whether…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Mingyuan Fan , Weiguang Han , Daixin Wang , Cen Chen , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

Transformers, currently the state-of-the-art in natural language understanding (NLU) tasks, are prone to generate uncalibrated predictions or extreme probabilities, making the process of taking different decisions based on their output…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-07-18 Patrizio Giovannotti

The goal of the PAN workshop is to advance computational stylometry and text forensics via objective and reproducible evaluation. In 2026, we run the following five tasks: (1) Voight-Kampff Generative AI Detection, particularly in mixed and…

In an increasing number of applications designers have access to multiple computer models which typically have different levels of fidelity and cost. Traditionally, designers calibrate these models one at a time against some high-fidelity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Jonathan Tammer Eweis-Labolle , Tyler Johnson , Xiangyu Sun , Ramin Bostanabad

In explainable AI, Concept Activation Vectors (CAVs) are typically obtained by training linear classifier probes to detect human-understandable concepts as directions in the activation space of deep neural networks. It is widely assumed…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Jacob Lysnæs-Larsen , Marte Eggen , Inga Strümke

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Large vision-language models (LVLMs) achieve impressive performance on multimodal tasks but often suffer from hallucination, and confidently describe objects or attributes not present in the image. Current training-free interventions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Mehrdad Fazli , Bowen Wei , Ahmet Sari , Ziwei Zhu

The planning problem constitutes a fundamental aspect of the autonomous driving framework. Recent strides in representation learning have empowered vehicles to comprehend their surrounding environments, thereby facilitating the integration…

The deployment of machine learning classifiers in high-stakes domains requires well-calibrated confidence scores for model predictions. In this paper we introduce the notion of variable-based calibration to characterize calibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Markelle Kelly , Padhraic Smyth

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

Accurate camera calibration is a precondition for many computer vision applications. Calibration errors, such as wrong model assumptions or imprecise parameter estimation, can deteriorate a system's overall performance, making the reliable…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Annika Hagemann , Moritz Knorr , Holger Janssen , Christoph Stiller

Ensuring model calibration is critical for reliable prediction, yet popular distribution-free methods such as histogram binning and isotonic regression offer only asymptotic guarantees. We introduce a unified framework for Venn and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-17 Lars van der Laan , Ahmed Alaa

Multi-class classification methods that produce sets of probabilistic classifiers, such as ensemble learning methods, are able to model aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatoric uncertainty is then typically quantified via the Bayes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-20 Thomas Mortier , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Stijn Luca , Willem Waegeman

A key factor for ensuring safety in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) is to avoid any abnormal behaviors under undesirable and unpredicted circumstances. As AVs increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to perform safety-critical tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier

One of the main drivers of the recent advances in authorship verification is the PAN large-scale authorship dataset. Despite generating significant progress in the field, inconsistent performance differences between the closed and open test…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 Florin Brad , Andrei Manolache , Elena Burceanu , Antonio Barbalau , Radu Ionescu , Marius Popescu

As we move away from the data, the predictive uncertainty should increase, since a great variety of explanations are consistent with the little available information. We introduce Distance-Aware Prior (DAP) calibration, a method to correct…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Gianluca Detommaso , Alberto Gasparin , Andrew Wilson , Cedric Archambeau

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

Miscalibrated confidence scores are a practical obstacle to deploying AI in clinical settings. A model that is always overconfident offers no useful signal for deferral. We present a multi-agent framework that combines domain-specific…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 John Ray B. Martinez