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Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can…

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

Multi-task regression attempts to exploit the task similarity in order to achieve knowledge transfer across related tasks for performance improvement. The application of Gaussian process (GP) in this scenario yields the non-parametric yet…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Haitao Liu , Jiaqi Ding , Xinyu Xie , Xiaomo Jiang , Yusong Zhao , Xiaofang Wang

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

In spite of the diverse literature on nonstationary spatial modeling and approximate Gaussian process (GP) methods, there are no general approaches for conducting fully Bayesian inference for moderately sized nonstationary spatial data sets…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Mark D. Risser , Daniel Turek

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park

In order to better model high-dimensional sequential data, we propose a collaborative multi-output Gaussian process dynamical system (CGPDS), which is a novel variant of GPDSs. The proposed model assumes that the output on each dimension is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Jing Zhao , Jingjing Fei , Shiliang Sun

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes that combine well calibrated uncertainty estimates with the high flexibility of multilayer models. One of the biggest challenges with these models is that…

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig