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Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for additive functionals of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-16 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for general additive…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-02 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-03 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

We propose an adaptive estimator for the stationary distribution of a bifurcating Markov Chain on $\mathbb R^d$. Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC for short) are a class of stochastic processes indexed by regular binary trees. A kernel…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-22 S Valere Bitseki Penda , Angelina Roche

We study the kernel estimator of the transition density of bifurcating Markov chains. Under some ergodic and regularity properties, we prove that this estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Next, in the numerical studies, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-28 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

The main objective of this article is to establish a central limit theorem for additive three-variable functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. We thus extend the central limit theorem under point-wise ergodic conditions studied in…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-04 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

The main purpose of this article is to establish moderate deviation principles for additive functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. Bifurcating Markov chains are a class of processes which are indexed by a regular binary tree. They can be…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Gorgui Gackou

First, under a geometric ergodicity assumption, we provide some limit theorems and some probability inequalities for the bifurcating Markov chains (BMC). The BMC model was introduced by Guyon to detect cellular aging from cell lineage, and…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-20 Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin

As a starting point we prove a functional central limit theorem for estimators of the invariant measure of a geometrically ergodic Harris-recurrent Markov chain in a multi-scale space. This allows to construct confidence bands for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

We prove a central limit theorem for a general class of adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms driven by sub-geometrically ergodic Markov kernels. We discuss in detail the special case of stochastic approximation. We use the result to…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-03 Yves F. Atchade , Gersende Fort

We investigate recurrence and transience of Branching Markov Chains (BMC) in discrete time. Branching Markov Chains are clouds of particles which move (according to an irreducible underlying Markov Chain) and produce offspring…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Mueller

Interest is in evaluating, by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation, the expected value of a function with respect to a, possibly unnormalized, probability distribution. A general purpose variance reduction technique for the MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-09-19 Antonietta Mira , Reza Solgi , Daniele Imparato

The central limit theorem for Markov chains generated by iterated function systems consisting of orientation preserving homeomorphisms of the interval is proved. We study also ergodicity of such systems.

动力系统 · 数学 2020-03-24 Klaudiusz Czudek , Tomasz Szarek

In this paper we investigate the kernel estimator of the density for a stationary reversible Markov chain. The proofs are based on a new central limit theorem for a triangular array of reversible Markov chains obtained under conditions…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-23 Martial Longla , Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang

Applying quantitative perturbation theory for linear operators, we prove non-asymptotic limit theorems for Markov chains whose transition kernel has a spectral gap in an arbitrary Banach algebra of functions X . The main results are…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-31 Benoît Kloeckner

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

In the thesis we take the split chain approach to analyzing Markov chains and use it to establish fixed-width results for estimators obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures (MCMC). Theoretical results include necessary and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-07-28 Krzysztof Latuszynski

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution whose multivariate nature has so far been ignored in the MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones
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