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Resampling methods such as the bootstrap have proven invaluable in the field of machine learning. However, the applicability of traditional bootstrap methods is limited when dealing with large streams of dependent data, such as time series…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

'Optimal cutpoints' for binary classification tasks are often established by testing which cutpoint yields the best discrimination, for example the Youden index, in a specific sample. This results in 'optimal' cutpoints that are highly…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-24 Christian Thiele , Gerrit Hirschfeld

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

The analysis of longitudinal data gives the chance to observe how unit behaviors change over time, but it also poses a series of issues. These have been the focus of an extensive literature in the context of linear and generalized linear…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Marco Alfó , Maria Francesca Marino , Maria Giovanna Ranalli , Nicola Salvati

While robust standard errors and related facilities are available in R for many types of statistical models, the facilities are notably lacking for models estimated via lme4. This is because the necessary statistical output, including the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-18 Ting Wang , Edgar C. Merkle

Estimation of generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) with non-nested random effects structures requires approximation of high-dimensional integrals. Many existing methods are tailored to the low-dimensional integrals produced by nested…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-01 Andrew T. Karl , Yan Yang , Sharon L. Lohr

Data plays a fundamental role in the training of Large Language Models (LLMs). While attention has been paid to the collection and composition of datasets, determining the data sampling strategy in training remains an open question. Most…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Yunfan Shao , Linyang Li , Zhaoye Fei , Hang Yan , Dahua Lin , Xipeng Qiu

The R package merlin performs flexible joint modelling of hierarchical multi-outcome data. Increasingly, multiple longitudinal biomarker measurements, possibly censored time-to-event outcomes and baseline characteristics are available.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-29 Emma C. Martin , Alessandro Gasparini , Michael J. Crowther

IR or near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy is a method used to identify a compound or to analyze the composition of a material. Calibration of NIR spectra refers to the use of the spectra as multivariate descriptors to predict concentrations of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 A. Ukil , J. Bernasconi , H. Braendle , H. Buijs , S. Bonenfant

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

Mixture cure models have been widely used to analyze survival data with a cure fraction. They assume that a subgroup of the individuals under study will never experience the event (cured subjects). So, the goal is twofold: to study both the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Ana López-Cheda , M. Amalia Jácome , Ignacio López-de-Ullibarri

Generalized linear model or GLM constitutes a large class of models and essentially extends the ordinary linear regression by connecting the mean of the response variable with the covariate through appropriate link functions. On the other…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

This paper explores improvements in prediction accuracy and inference capability when allowing for potential correlation in team-level random effects across multiple game-level responses from different assumed distributions. First-order and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Jennifer E. Broatch , Andrew T. Karl

We construct bootstrap confidence intervals for a monotone regression function. It has been shown that the ordinary nonparametric bootstrap, based on the nonparametric least squares estimator (LSE) $\hat f_n$ is inconsistent in this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-24 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

Trial-based cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) are an important source of evidence in the assessment of health interventions. In these studies, cost and effectiveness outcomes are commonly measured at multiple time points, but some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Andrea Gabrio , Catrin Plumpton , Sube Banerjee , Baptiste Leurent

Random-effects models are central to meta-analysis, yet the between-study variance is often underestimated when the number of studies is small. In such settings, confidence intervals become unduly narrow and fail to attain the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Meta-analyses frequently include trials that report multiple effect sizes based on a common set of study participants. These effect sizes will generally be correlated. Cluster-robust variance-covariance estimators are a fruitful approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Thilo Welz , Wolfgang Viechtbauer , Markus Pauly