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Probabilistic graphical models are a central tool in AI; however, they are generally not as expressive as deep neural models, and inference is notoriously hard and slow. In contrast, deep probabilistic models such as sum-product networks…

Many natural and physical processes can be understood by analyzing multiple system variables evolving, forming a multivariate time series. Predicting such time series is challenging due to the inherent noise and interdependencies among…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-12-11 S. Hariharan , R. Suresh , V. K. Chandrasekar

Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Payal Kaushik , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra , C V Sridhar

We introduce segmental recurrent neural networks (SRNNs) which define, given an input sequence, a joint probability distribution over segmentations of the input and labelings of the segments. Representations of the input segments (i.e.,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-03-03 Lingpeng Kong , Chris Dyer , Noah A. Smith

Time series models with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can have high accuracy but are unfortunately difficult to interpret as a result of feature-interactions, temporal-interactions, and non-linear transformations. Interpretability is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Asif Rahman , Yale Chang , Jonathan Rubin

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

A core technology that has emerged from the artificial intelligence revolution is the recurrent neural network (RNN). Its unique sequence-based architecture provides a tractable likelihood estimate with stable training paradigms, a…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2020-07-01 Mohamed Hibat-Allah , Martin Ganahl , Lauren E. Hayward , Roger G. Melko , Juan Carrasquilla

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that are well suited to forecasting and sequence classification. They have been applied extensively to forecasting univariate financial time series, however…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-07-19 Matthew F Dixon

Bidding in real-time auctions can be a difficult stochastic control task; especially if underdelivery incurs strong penalties and the market is very uncertain. Most current works and implementations focus on optimally delivering a campaign…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-15 Nicolas Grislain , Nicolas Perrin , Antoine Thabault

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

We extend recurrent neural networks to include several flexible timescales for each dimension of their output, which mechanically improves their abilities to account for processes with long memory or with highly disparate time scales. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-21 Damien Challet , Vincent Ragel

The simulation of power system dynamics poses a computationally expensive task. Considering the growing uncertainty of generation and demand patterns, thousands of scenarios need to be continuously assessed to ensure the safety of power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-13 Jochen Stiasny , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

We present a numerical framework for approximating unknown governing equations using observation data and deep neural networks (DNN). In particular, we propose to use residual network (ResNet) as the basic building block for equation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-24 Tong Qin , Kailiang Wu , Dongbin Xiu

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant variability and uncertainty in modern power systems, making accurate state prediction critical for reliable grid operation. Conventional forecasting methods often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Dhruv Suri , Mohak Mangal

Deep learning-based support systems have demonstrated encouraging results in numerous clinical applications involving the processing of time series data. While such systems often are very accurate, they have no inherent mechanism for…

This work studies approximation based on single-hidden-layer feedforward and recurrent neural networks with randomly generated internal weights. These methods, in which only the last layer of weights and a few hyperparameters are optimized,…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-17 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Efficient processing of large-scale time series data is an intricate problem in machine learning. Conventional sensor signal processing pipelines with hand engineered feature extraction often involve huge computational cost with high…

This work proposes Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) models to predict structured 'image situations' -- actions and noun entities fulfilling semantic roles related to the action. In contrast to prior work relying on Conditional Random Fields…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-08-07 Arun Mallya , Svetlana Lazebnik

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are capable of learning features and long term dependencies from sequential and time-series data. The RNNs have a stack of non-linear units where at least one connection between units forms a directed cycle.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-02-26 Hojjat Salehinejad , Sharan Sankar , Joseph Barfett , Errol Colak , Shahrokh Valaee

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are brain-inspired models widely used in machine learning for analyzing sequential data. The present work is a contribution towards a deeper understanding of how RNNs process input signals using the response…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Soon Hoe Lim