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This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-10-14 Si Chen

We consider risk averse investors with different levels of anxiety about asset price drawdowns. The latter is defined as the distance of the current price away from its best performance since inception. These drawdowns can increase either…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-02 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Hongzhong Zhang

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

In this article we study an optimal stopping/optimal control problem which models the decision facing a risk-averse agent over when to sell an asset. The market is incomplete so that the asset exposure cannot be hedged. In addition to the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson

Most work in mechanism design assumes that buyers are risk neutral; some considers risk aversion arising due to a non-linear utility for money. Yet behavioral studies have established that real agents exhibit risk attitudes which cannot be…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-03-13 Shuchi Chawla , Kira Goldner , J. Benjamin Miller , Emmanouil Pountourakis

I study endogenous learning dynamics for people who misperceive intertemporal correlations in random sequences. Biased agents face an optimal-stopping problem. They are uncertain about the underlying distribution and learn its parameters…

经济学 · 定量金融 2022-11-15 Kevin He

Humans display a tendency to pay more attention to bad outcomes, often in a disproportionate way relative to their statistical occurrence. They also display euphorism, as well as a preference for the current state of affairs (status quo…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-24 Michel de Lara

Time-inconsistency is a characteristic of human behavior in which people plan for long-term benefits but take actions that differ from the plan due to conflicts with short-term benefits. Such time-inconsistent behavior is believed to be…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Yasunori Akagi , Naoki Marumo , Takeshi Kurashima

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

Recent work has considered theoretical models for the behavior of agents with specific behavioral biases: rather than making decisions that optimize a given payoff function, the agent behaves inefficiently because its decisions suffer from…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-06-06 Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren , Manish Raghavan

Human decision-making in real-life deviates significantly from the optimal decisions made by fully rational agents, primarily due to computational limitations or psychological biases. While existing studies in behavioral finance have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Penghang Liu , Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Aiming to analyze the impact of environmental transition on the value of assets and on asset stranding, we study optimal stopping and divestment timing decisions for an economic agent whose future revenues depend on the realization of a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-27 Andrea Mazzon , Peter Tankov

Salespeople frequently face the dynamic screening decision of whether to persist in a conversation or abandon it to pursue the next lead. Yet, little is known about how these decisions are made, whether they are efficient, or how to improve…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Emaad Manzoor , Eva Ascarza , Oded Netzer

Present bias, the tendency to overvalue immediate rewards while undervaluing future ones, is a well-known barrier to achieving long-term goals. As artificial intelligence and behavioral economics increasingly focus on this phenomenon, the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-18 Yasunori Akagi , Hideaki Kim , Takeshi Kurashima

We study the problem of agent selection in causal strategic learning under multiple decision makers and address two key challenges that come with it. Firstly, while much of prior work focuses on studying a fixed pool of agents that remains…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Kiet Q. H. Vo , Muneeb Aadil , Siu Lun Chau , Krikamol Muandet

We show that in delegation problems, a principal benefits from belief misalignment vis-\`a-vis an agent when the latter can flexibly acquire costly information. The agent optimally succumbs to confirmatory learning, leading him to favor the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-30 Pavel Ilinov , Andrei Matveenko , Maxim Senkov , Egor Starkov

We model the behavioral biases of human decision-making in securing interdependent systems and show that such behavioral decision-making leads to a suboptimal pattern of resource allocation compared to non-behavioral (rational)…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Mustafa Abdallah , Daniel Woods , Parinaz Naghizadeh , Issa Khalil , Timothy Cason , Shreyas Sundaram , Saurabh Bagchi

This work considers a Bayesian signal processing problem where increasing the power of the probing signal may cause risks or undesired consequences. We employ a market based approach to solve energy management problems for signal detection…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-20 Baocheng Geng , Chen Quan , Tianyun Zhang , Makan Fardad , Pramod K. Varshney

Snapshots of "best" (or "worst") experience are known to dominate human memory and may thus also have a significant effect on future behaviour. We consider here a model of repeated decision-making where, at every time step, an agent takes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-02-18 Evangelos Mitsokapas , Rosemary J. Harris
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