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Time-delayed differential equations (TDDEs) are widely used to model complex dynamic systems where future states depend on past states with a delay. However, inferring the underlying TDDEs from observed data remains a challenging problem…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-07 Debangshu Chowdhury , Souvik Chakraborty

The understanding and modeling of complex physical phenomena through dynamical systems has historically driven scientific progress, as it provides the tools for predicting the behavior of different systems under diverse conditions through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Karin L. Yu , Eleni Chatzi , Georgios Kissas

Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

Recently, Gaussian processes have been used to model the vector field of continuous dynamical systems, referred to as GPODEs, which are characterized by a probabilistic ODE equation. Bayesian inference for these models has been extensively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Jian Xu , Shian Du , Junmei Yang , Xinghao Ding , John Paisley , Delu Zeng

Stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) play an important role in many scientific and engineering applications. Often, the dependence of the solution of the ODE on additional parameters is of interest, e.g.\ when dealing with…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-11 Idoia Cortes Garcia , P. Förster , W. Schilders , S. Schöps

We introduce ODE-GS, a novel approach that integrates 3D Gaussian Splatting with latent neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to enable future extrapolation of dynamic 3D scenes. Unlike existing dynamic scene reconstruction methods,…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Daniel Wang , Patrick Rim , Tian Tian , Dong Lao , Alex Wong , Ganesh Sundaramoorthi

Ensuring safety is a key aspect in sequential decision making problems, such as robotics or process control. The complexity of the underlying systems often makes finding the optimal decision challenging, especially when the safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Jialin Li , Marta Zagorowska , Giulia De Pasquale , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

In this paper, we propose a progressive Bayesian procedure, where the measurement information is continuously included into the given prior estimate (although we perform observations at discrete time steps). The key idea is to derive a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-04-03 Uwe D. Hanebeck , Jannik Steinbring

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

The identification of Linear Time-Varying (LTV) systems from input-output data is a fundamental yet challenging ill-posed inverse problem. This work introduces a unified Bayesian framework that models the system's impulse response, $h(t,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Yaniv Shulman

Medical time series datasets feature missing values that need data imputation methods, however, conventional machine learning models fall short due to a lack of uncertainty quantification in predictions. Among these models, the CATSI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Omkar Kulkarni , Rohitash Chandra

A Bayesian lattice filtering and smoothing approach is proposed for fast and accurate modeling and inference in multivariate non-stationary time series. This approach offers computational feasibility and interpretable time-frequency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Wenjie Zhao , Raquel Prado

A variety of complex biological, natural and man-made systems exhibit non-Markovian dynamics that can be modeled through fractional order differential equations, yet, we lack sample comlexity aware system identification strategies. Towards…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-23 Xiaole Zhang , Vijay Gupta , Paul Bogdan

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

A new time-delay estimation (TDE) technique based on dynamic programming is developed, to measures the time-varying time-delay between two signals. Dynamic programming based TDE technique provides a frequency response 5 to 10 times higher…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2010-01-11 Deepak K. Gupta , George R. McKee , Raymond R. Fonck

Ordinary differential equations (ODE) have been widely used for modeling dynamical complex systems. For high-dimensional ODE models where the number of differential equations is large, it remains challenging to estimate the ODE parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Muye Nanshan , Nan Zhang , Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

In many fields of application, dynamic processes that evolve through time are well described by systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The analytical solution of the ODEs is often not available and different methods have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-19 Saverio Ranciati , Cinzia Viroli , Ernst Wit

Many real world problems exhibit patterns that have periodic behavior. For example, in astrophysics, periodic variable stars play a pivotal role in understanding our universe. An important step when analyzing data from such processes is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-08-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas