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In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

This paper presents an improved implicit sampling method for hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. A widely used approach for sampling posterior distribution is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, the samples generated by…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-27 Xiaoyan Song , Lijian Jiang , Guanghui Zheng

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide powerful framework for sampling unknown probability measures across a wide range of scientific applications. In some settings, the target distribution is supported on a lower-dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-27 Xuyuan Wang , Donglin Han

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

At the scale of the individual cell, protein production is a stochastic process with multiple time scales, combining quick and slow random steps with discontinuous and smooth variation. Hybrid stochastic processes, in particular…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2019-05-02 Guilherme C. P. Innocentini , Fernando Antoneli , Arran Hodgkinson , Ovidiu Radulescu

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Many applications in signal processing require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. More specifically, Bayesian inference needs the computation of {\it a-posteriori} estimators which are often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Luca Martino

Determination of functions for poorly characterized genes is crucial for understanding biological processes and studying human diseases. Functionally associated genes are often gained and lost together through evolution. Therefore…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-21 Yang Li , Shaoyang Ning , Sarah E. Calvo , Vamsi K. Mootha , Jun S. Liu

The need to calibrate increasingly complex statistical models requires a persistent effort for further advances on available, computationally intensive Monte Carlo methods. We study here an advanced version of familiar Markov Chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Alexandros Beskos , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Erik Pazos

We propose Adaptive Incremental Mixture Markov chain Monte Carlo (AIMM), a novel approach to sample from challenging probability distributions defined on a general state-space. While adaptive MCMC methods usually update a parametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Antonietta Mira , Adrian Raftery

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Hierarchical Bayesian Poisson regression models (HBPRMs) provide a flexible modeling approach of the relationship between predictors and count response variables. The applications of HBPRMs to large-scale datasets require efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Jin-Zhu Yu , Hiba Baroud

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are often used for approximate inference inside learning, but their slow mixing can be difficult to diagnose and the approximations can seriously degrade learning. To alleviate these issues, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-02-25 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) algorithms have proven useful in scaling Bayesian inference to large datasets under an assumption of i.i.d data. We instead develop an SG-MCMC algorithm to learn the parameters of hidden Markov models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-16 Yi-An Ma , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

Spatio-temporal hidden Markov models are extremely difficult to estimate because their latent joint distributions are available only in trivial cases. In the estimation phase, these latent distributions are usually substituted with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Daniele Tancini , Riccardo Rastelli , Francesco Bartolucci