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Earth system models (ESMs), which simulate the physics and chemistry of the global atmosphere, land, and ocean, are often used to generate future projections of climate change scenarios. These models are far too computationally intensive to…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexandra Puchko , Robert Link , Brian Hutchinson , Ben Kravitz , Abigail Snyder

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-09 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven Sherwood , Gab Abramowitz

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Modelling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for instance when allocating emergency management funds. In statistics, multivariate extreme value theory is often used to model spatial extremes.…

Addressing the challenges of climate change requires accurate and high-resolution mapping of geospatial data, especially climate and weather variables. However, many existing geospatial datasets, such as the gridded outputs of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-08 Guiye Li , Guofeng Cao

Stochastic generators are useful for estimating climate impacts on various sectors. Projecting climate risk in various sectors, e.g. energy systems, requires generators that are accurate (statistical resemblance to ground-truth), reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Emmanuel Balogun , Ram Rajagopal , Arun Majumdar

Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical weather prediction models often fail to capture…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Ilan Price , Stephan Rasp

Adapting to the changing climate requires accurate local climate information, a computationally challenging problem. Recent studies have used Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), a type of deep learning, to learn complex distributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Kiri Daust , Adam Monahan

Despite continuous improvements, precipitation forecasts are still not as accurate and reliable as those of other meteorological variables. A major contributing factor to this is that several key processes affecting precipitation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-11-09 Lucy Harris , Andrew T. T. McRae , Matthew Chantry , Peter D. Dueben , Tim N. Palmer

Climate hazards can cause major disasters when they occur simultaneously as compound hazards. To understand the distribution of climate risk and inform adaptation policies, scientists need to simulate a large number of physically realistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Alison Peard , Jim Hall

Accurately quantifying the increased risks of climate extremes requires generating large ensembles of climate realization across a wide range of emissions scenarios, which is computationally challenging for conventional Earth System Models.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Mengze Wang , Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Themistoklis Sapsis

Machine learning (ML) offers a computationally efficient approach for generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate projections, but deterministic ML methods often smooth fine-scale structures and underestimate extremes. While…

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) provide an algorithmic framework for constructing generative models with several appealing properties: they do not require a likelihood function to be specified, only a generating procedure; they…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shakir Mohamed , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

In recent years, Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown substantial progress in modeling complex distributions of data. These networks have received tremendous attention since they can generate implicit probabilistic models that…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-10-25 Mehdi Ahmadi , Timothy Nest , Mostafa Abdelnaim , Thanh-Dung Le

Simulating complex physical systems often involves solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with some closures due to the presence of multi-scale physics that cannot be fully resolved. Therefore, reliable and accurate closure models…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-02-19 Jin-Long Wu , Karthik Kashinath , Adrian Albert , Dragos Chirila , Prabhat , Heng Xiao

We present a method to generate renewable scenarios using Bayesian probabilities by implementing the Bayesian generative adversarial network~(Bayesian GAN), which is a variant of generative adversarial networks based on two interconnected…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Pan Li , Baosen Zhang

To this day, accurately simulating local-scale precipitation and reliably reproducing its distribution remains a challenging task. The limited horizontal resolution of Global Climate Models is among the primary factors undermining their…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-18 Marcello Iotti , Paolo Davini , Jost von Hardenberg , Giuseppe Zappa

Scenario generation is an important step in the operation and planning of power systems with high renewable penetrations. In this work, we proposed a data-driven approach for scenario generation using generative adversarial networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Yishen Wang , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

One of the most significant challenges in statistical signal processing and machine learning is how to obtain a generative model that can produce samples of large-scale data distribution, such as images and speeches. Generative Adversarial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Pegah Salehi , Abdolah Chalechale , Maryam Taghizadeh

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington
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