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We explore the arguments for maximizing the `evidence' as an algorithm for model selection. We show, using a new definition of model complexity which we term `flexibility', that maximizing the evidence should appeal to both Bayesian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-16 Jonathan Rougier , Carey Priebe

Although variable selection is one of the most popular areas of modern statistical research, much of its development has taken place in the classical paradigm compared to the Bayesian counterpart. Somewhat surprisingly, both the paradigms…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-27 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

We discuss Bayesian inference for a known-mean Gaussian model with a compound symmetric variance-covariance matrix. Since the space of such matrices is a linear subspace of that of positive definite matrices, we utilize the methods of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Zachary M. Pisano

In practical situations, most experimental designs often yield unbalanced data which have different numbers of observations per unit because of cost constraints, or missing data, etc. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-22 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

Learning of a smooth but nonparametric probability density can be regularized using methods of Quantum Field Theory. We implement a field theoretic prior numerically, test its efficacy, and show that the data and the phase space factors…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

A Bayes factor is proposed for testing whether the effect of a key predictor variable on the dependent variable is linear or nonlinear, possibly while controlling for certain covariates. The test can be used (i) when one is interested in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Joris Mulder

Consider the problem of high dimensional variable selection for the Gaussian linear model when the unknown error variance is also of interest. In this paper, we show that the use of conjugate shrinkage priors for Bayesian variable selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Gemma E. Moran , Veronika Rockova , Edward I. George

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

We investigate the evidence/flexibility (i.e., "Occam") paradigm and demonstrate the theoretical and empirical consistency of Bayesian evidence for the task of determining an appropriate generative model for network data. This model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Tianyu Wang , Zachary M. Pisano , Carey E. Priebe

Gaussian graphical models are a popular tool to learn the dependence structure in the form of a graph among variables of interest. Bayesian methods have gained in popularity in the last two decades due to their ability to simultaneously…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-02 Yabo Niu , Debdeep Pati , Bani Mallick

Bayesian model selection is a tool to decide whether the introduction of a new parameter is warranted by data. I argue that the usual sampling statistic significance tests for a null hypothesis can be misleading, since they do not take into…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Roberto Trotta

In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-09-07 Xin Gao , Daniel Q. Pu , Yuehua Wu , Hong Xu

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

In this paper, we consider Bayesian hypothesis testing for the balanced one-way random effects model. A special choice of the prior formulation for the ratio of variance components is shown to yield an explicit closed-form Bayes factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-27 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

This paper studies Bayesian variable selection in linear models with general spherically symmetric error distributions. We propose sub-harmonic priors which arise as a class of mixtures of Zellner's g-priors for which the Bayes factors are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-12 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

Recent work on overfitting Bayesian mixtures of distributions offers a powerful framework for clustering multivariate data using a latent Gaussian model which resembles the factor analysis model. The flexibility provided by overfitting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck
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