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For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

Dynamic causal discovery in wireless networks is essential due to evolving interference, fading, and mobility, which complicate traditional static causal models. This paper addresses causal inference challenges in dynamic fading wireless…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Oluwaseyi Giwa

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Effectively localizing root causes of performance anomalies is crucial to enabling the rapid recovery and loss mitigation of microservice applications in the cloud. Depending on the granularity of the causes that can be localized, a service…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Ruyue Xin , Peng Chen , Zhiming Zhao

To uncover the city's fundamental functioning mechanisms, it is important to acquire a deep understanding of complicated relationships among citizens, location, and mobility behaviors. Previous research studies have applied direct…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Tao Feng , Yunke Zhang , Xiaochen Fan , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Aircraft performance models play a key role in airline operations, especially in planning a fuel-efficient flight. In practice, manufacturers provide guidelines which are slightly modified throughout the aircraft life cycle via the tuning…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-05 Florent Dewez , Benjamin Guedj , Vincent Vandewalle

Causality plays a pivotal role in various fields of study. Based on the framework of causal graphical models, previous works have proposed identifying whether a variable is a cause or non-cause of a target in every Markov equivalent graph…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-16 Qingyuan Zheng , Yue Liu , Yangbo He

The plethora of algorithms in the research field of process mining builds on directly-follows relations. Even though various improvements have been made in the last decade, there are serious weaknesses of these relationships. Once events…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-07-24 Philipp Waibel , Lukas Pfahlsberger , Kate Revoredo , Jan Mendling

The aim in many sciences is to understand the mechanisms that underlie the observed distribution of variables, starting from a set of initial hypotheses. Causal discovery allows us to infer mechanisms as sets of cause and effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Ashka Shah , Adela DePavia , Nathaniel Hudson , Ian Foster , Rick Stevens

Hawkes processes are a special class of temporal point processes which exhibit a natural notion of causality, as occurrence of events in the past may increase the probability of events in the future. Discovery of the underlying influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Amirkasra Jalaldoust , Katerina Hlavackova-Schindler , Claudia Plant

Flight delays hurt airlines, airports, and passengers. Their prediction is crucial during the decision-making process for all players of commercial aviation. Moreover, the development of accurate prediction models for flight delays became…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-06 Alice Sternberg , Jorge Soares , Diego Carvalho , Eduardo Ogasawara

Flight delays due to holding maneuvers are a critical and costly phenomenon in aviation, driven by the need to manage air traffic congestion and ensure safety. Holding maneuvers occur when aircraft are instructed to circle in designated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Jorge L. Franco , Manoel V. Machado Neto , Filipe A. N. Verri , Diego R. Amancio

Process discovery is one of the primary process mining tasks and starting point for process improvements using event data. Existing process discovery techniques aim to find process models that best describe the observed behavior. The focus…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Ali Norouzifar , Wil van der Aalst

Continuous Descent Operations (CDO) involve smooth, idle-thrust descents that avoid level-offs, reducing fuel burn, emissions, and noise while improving efficiency and passenger comfort. Despite its operational and environmental benefits,…

Process discovery aims to discover descriptive process models from event logs. These discovered process models depict the actual execution of a process and serve as a foundational element for conformance checking, performance analyses, and…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Ali Norouzifar , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

Much of the causal discovery literature prioritises guaranteeing the identifiability of causal direction in statistical models. For structures within a Markov equivalence class, this requires strong assumptions which may not hold in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-29 Anish Dhir , Samuel Power , Mark van der Wilk

Causal discovery broadens the inference possibilities, as correlation does not inform about the relationship direction. The common approaches were proposed for cases in which prior knowledge is desired, when the impact of a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-18 Marcel Młyńczak

In high-stakes systems such as healthcare, it is critical to understand the causal reasons behind unusual events, such as sudden changes in patient's health. Unveiling the causal reasons helps with quick diagnoses and precise treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Yiling Kuang , Chao Yang , Yang Yang , Shuang Li

The penultimate goal for developing machine learning models in supply chain management is to make optimal interventions. However, most machine learning models identify correlations in data rather than inferring causation, making it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Mateusz Wyrembek , George Baryannis , Alexandra Brintrup

We present a new algorithm for discovering patterns in time series and other sequential data. We exhibit a reliable procedure for building the minimal set of hidden, Markovian states that is statistically capable of producing the behavior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield