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A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

Decision making under uncertainty is a key component of many AI settings, and in particular of voting scenarios where strategic agents are trying to reach a joint decision. The common approach to handle uncertainty is by maximizing expected…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-11-15 Omer Lev , Reshef Meir , Svetlana Obraztsova , Maria Polukarov

We describe a representation and a set of inference methods that combine logic programming techniques with probabilistic network representations for uncertainty (influence diagrams). The techniques emphasize the dynamic construction and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-11 John S. Breese , Edison Tse

The basic aim of our study is to give a possible model for handling uncertain information. This model is worked out in the framework of DATALOG. At first the concept of fuzzy Datalog will be summarized, then its extensions for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-04-08 Agnes Achs

Decision-making under uncertainty and causal thinking are fundamental aspects of intelligent reasoning. Decision-making has been well studied when the available information is considered at the associative (probabilistic) level. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Mauricio Gonzalez Soto , David Danks , Hugo J. Escalante Balderas , L. Enrique Sucar

A central push in operations models over the last decade has been the incorporation of models of customer choice. Real world implementations of many of these models face the formidable stumbling block of simply identifying the `right' model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-06-23 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

Expert systems applications that involve uncertain inference can be represented by a multidimensional contingency table. These tables offer a general approach to inferring with uncertain evidence, because they can embody any form of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 David S. Vaughan , Bruce M. Perrin , Robert M. Yadrick , Peter D. Holden , Karl G. Kempf

The paper considers the problem of multi-objective decision support when outcomes are uncertain. We extend the concept of Pareto-efficient decisions to take into account the uncertainty of decision outcomes across varying contexts. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

In this paper, a unified framework for representing uncertain information based on the notion of an interval structure is proposed. It is shown that the lower and upper approximations of the rough-set model, the lower and upper bounds of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Michael S. K. M. Wong , L. S. Wang , Y. Y. Yao

Although there are many mathematical theories to address uncertain phenomena however, these theories are presented under implicit presupposition that uncertainty of objects is accurately measurable while not considering that the measure of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-02 Xingguang Chen

In this paper we propose efficient methods for elicitation of complexly structured preferences and utilize these in problems of decision making under (severe) uncertainty. Based on the general framework introduced in Jansen, Schollmeyer and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-02 Christoph Jansen , Hannah Blocher , Thomas Augustin , Georg Schollmeyer

Information and uncertainty are closely related and extensively studied concepts in a number of scientific disciplines such as communication theory, probability theory, and statistics. Increasing the information arguably reduces the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-09 Jiahua Chen

Since its introduction, the partial information decomposition (PID) has emerged as a powerful, information-theoretic technique useful for studying the structure of (potentially higher-order) interactions in complex systems. Despite its…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Thomas F. Varley

This paper develops a category-theoretic approach to uncertainty, informativeness and decision-making problems. It is based on appropriate first order fuzzy logic in which not only logical connectives but also quantifiers have fuzzy…

综合数学 · 数学 2007-05-23 P. V. Golubtsov , S. S. Moskaliuk

Information theory provides a mathematical foundation to measure uncertainty in belief. Belief is represented by a probability distribution that captures our understanding of an outcome's plausibility. Information measures based on…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-17 Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach

Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call certainty and doubt, that can be used in both a…

In this work we generalize standard Decision Theory by assuming that two outcomes can also be incomparable. Two motivating scenarios show how incomparability may be helpful to represent those situations where, due to lack of information,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-04 Piero A. Bonatti , Marco Faella , Luigi Sauro

In this paper we consider an information theoretic approach for the accounting classification process. We propose a matrix formalism and an algorithm for calculations of information theoretic measures associated to accounting…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-09-30 E. M. S. Ribeiro , G. A. Prataviera

We study belief revision when information is represented by a set of probability distributions, or general information. General information extends the standard event notion while including qualitative information (A is more likely than B),…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid