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Recent successes of artificial intelligence and deep learning often depend on the well-collected training dataset which is assumed to have an identical distribution with the test dataset. However, this assumption, which is called closed-set…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Eui-Soo Jung , Hae-Hun Seo , Hyun-Woo Jung , Je-Geon Oh , Yoon-Yeong Kim

Personalized medicine seeks to identify the causal effect of treatment for a particular patient as opposed to a clinical population at large. Most investigators estimate such personalized treatment effects by regressing the outcome of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Eric V. Strobl , Shyam Visweswaran

This paper proposes an adaptive random experiment design (ARED) algorithm that can be applied to optimize the multiple factors and levels experiments. The algorithm takes real-time model error as the adaptive condition, and outputs a model…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-01 Zhou Qiao , Duan Xiaochang , Tang Wei

One of the primary goals of statistical precision medicine is to learn optimal individualized treatment rules (ITRs). The classification-based, or machine learning-based, approach to estimating optimal ITRs was first introduced in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Sophia Yazzourh , Nikki L. B. Freeman

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Clinical trials often collect data on multiple outcomes, such as overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and response to treatment (RT). In most cases, however, study designs only use primary outcome data for interim and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Massimiliano Russo , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Large observational datasets, including those derived from electronic health records, are a valuable resource for medical research but are often affected by missingness, measurement error, and misclassification. Two-phase sampling with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Jasper B. Yang , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

We consider the optimal decision-making problem in a primary sample of interest with multiple auxiliary sources available. The outcome of interest is limited in the sense that it is only observed in the primary sample. In reality, such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Hengrui Cai , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that aims to improve individual patients health outcomes by recommending optimal treatments according to patients specific information. In observational studies, collected data may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sylvie D Lambert , Sahir Bhatnagar

Indirect experiments provide a valuable framework for estimating treatment effects in situations where conducting randomized control trials (RCTs) is impractical or unethical. Unlike RCTs, indirect experiments estimate treatment effects by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Yash Chandak , Shiv Shankar , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Emma Brunskill

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Recommendation systems often rely on implicit feedback, where only positive user-item interactions can be observed. Negative sampling is therefore crucial to provide proper negative training signals. However, existing methods tend to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Na Li , Fanghui Sun , Yan Zou , Yangfu Zhu , Xiatian Zhu , Ying Ma

Doubly robust (DR) estimation is a crucial technique in causal inference and missing data problems. We propose a novel Propensity score Augmentved Doubly robust (PAD) estimator to enhance the commonly used DR estimator for average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Liangbo Lyu , Molei Liu

The field of precision medicine aims to tailor treatment based on patient-specific factors in a reproducible way. To this end, estimating an optimal individualized treatment regime (ITR) that recommends treatment decisions based on patient…

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

Ordinal outcomes are common in clinical settings where they often represent increasing levels of disease progression or different levels of functional impairment. Such outcomes can characterize differences in meaningful patient health…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-29 Zhiqiang Cao , Scott Zuo , Mary Ryan Baumann , Kendra Plourde , Patrick Heagerty , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li

AI advice is becoming increasingly popular, e.g., in investment and medical treatment decisions. As this advice is typically imperfect, decision-makers have to exert discretion as to whether actually follow that advice: they have to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Max Schemmer , Niklas Kühl , Carina Benz , Andrea Bartos , Gerhard Satzger

Longitudinal data often involve heterogeneity, sparse signals, and contamination from response outliers or high-leverage observations especially in biomedical science. Existing methods usually address only part of this problem, either…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Yuyao Wang , Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Mengfei Ran

In this paper, we propose a propensity score adapted variable selection procedure to select covariates for inclusion in propensity score models, in order to eliminate confounding bias and improve statistical efficiency in observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

We consider the problem of estimating a dose-response curve. Continuous treatments arise often in practice, e.g. in the form of time spent on an operation, distance traveled to a location or dosage of a drug. Letting $A$ denote a continuous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy