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To reach human level intelligence, learning algorithms need to incorporate causal reasoning. But identifying causality, and particularly counterfactual reasoning, remains elusive. In this paper, we make progress on counterfactual inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Marc Braun , Jose M. Peña , Adel Daoud

Building upon score-based learning, new interest in stochastic localization techniques has recently emerged. In these models, one seeks to noise a sample from the data distribution through a stochastic process, called observation process,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Louis Grenioux , Maxence Noble , Marylou Gabrié , Alain Oliviero Durmus

Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

Identifying causal effects in the presence of unmeasured variables is a fundamental challenge in causal inference, for which proxy variable methods have emerged as a powerful solution. We contrast two major approaches in this framework: (1)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Helen Guo , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser

Causal decomposition depicts a cause-effect relationship that is not based on the concept of prediction, but based on the phase dependence of time series. It has been validated in both stochastic and deterministic systems and is now…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-18 Yi Zhang , Qin Yang , Lifu Zhang , Branko Celler , Steven Su , Peng Xu , Dezhong Yao

Decomposition, statically dividing a program into multiple units, is a common programming technique for realizing parallelism and refining programs. The decomposition of a sequential program into components is tedious, due to the…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Sabah Al-Fedaghi

We consider the problem of sampling from the posterior distribution of a $d$-dimensional coefficient vector $\boldsymbol{\theta}$, given linear observations $\boldsymbol{y} = \boldsymbol{X}\boldsymbol{\theta}+\boldsymbol{\varepsilon}$. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-01 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

The change-point detection problem seeks to identify distributional changes in streams of data. Increasingly, tools for change-point detection are applied in settings where data may be highly sensitive and formal privacy guarantees are…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-21 Rachel Cummings , Sara Krehbiel , Yuliia Lut , Wanrong Zhang

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in intelligent transport systems. Deep learning offers an effective solution, capturing complex patterns in time-series traffic flow data to enable the accurate prediction. However, deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Qiyuan Zhu , A. K. Qin , Hussein Dia , Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Hanna Grzybowska

Matching in causal inference from observational data aims to construct treatment and control groups with similar distributions of covariates, thereby reducing confounding and ensuring an unbiased estimation of treatment effects. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

We introduce a new nonparametric causal decomposition approach that identifies the mechanisms by which a treatment variable contributes to a group-based outcome disparity. Our approach distinguishes three mechanisms: group differences in 1)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Ang Yu , Felix Elwert

The problem of selecting a small, yet high quality subset of patterns from a larger collection of itemsets has recently attracted lot of research. Here we discuss an approach to this problem using the notion of decomposable families of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-18 Nikolaj Tatti , Hannes Heikinheimo

Collaborative filtering is a very useful general technique for exploiting the preference patterns of a group of users to predict the utility of items to a particular user. Previous research has studied several probabilistic graphic models…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Rong Jin , Luo Si , ChengXiang Zhai

We introduce a novel framework for decomposing interventional causal effects into synergistic, redundant, and unique components, building on the intuition of Partial Information Decomposition (PID) and the principle of M\"obius inversion.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Abel Jansma

Social and information networks may become polarized, leading to echo chambers and political gridlock. Accurately measuring this phenomenon is a critical challenge. Existing measures often conflate genuine structural division with random…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Giulia Preti , Matteo Riondato , Aristides Gionis , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

This paper examines a stochastic deconvolution problem on compact symmetric spaces which is referred to as decompounding. This involves estimating the step distributions of a random walk, where in addition the number of steps between…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-20 Erik Kennerland

Mediation analysis has been used in many disciplines to explain the mechanism or process that underlies an observed relationship between an exposure variable and an outcome variable via the inclusion of mediators. Decompositions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Xin Gao , Li Li , Li Luo

Sensors are the key to environmental monitoring, which impart benefits to smart cities in many aspects, such as providing real-time air quality information to assist human decision-making. However, it is impractical to deploy massive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-24 Junfeng Hu , Yuxuan Liang , Zhencheng Fan , Li Liu , Yifang Yin , Roger Zimmermann

In network science, a group of nodes connected with each other at higher probability than with those outside the group is referred to as a community. From the perspective that individual communities are associated with functional modules…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-12-10 Hiroshi Okamoto , Xu-le Qiu

A method is introduced for the construction of meshless discretization schemes which preserve Lie symmetries of the differential equations that these schemes approximate. The method exploits the fact that equivariant moving frames provide a…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Alexander Bihlo