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We propose a novel approach for inferring the individualized causal effects of a treatment (intervention) from observational data. Our approach conceptualizes causal inference as a multitask learning problem; we model a subject's potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-20 Ahmed M. Alaa , Michael Weisz , Mihaela van der Schaar

Machine Learning and AI have the potential to transform data-driven scientific discovery, enabling accurate predictions for several scientific phenomena. As many scientific questions are inherently causal, this paper looks at the causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Riccardo Cadei , Lukas Lindorfer , Sylvia Cremer , Cordelia Schmid , Francesco Locatello

This paper explores the development and practical application of a predictive digital twin specifically designed for condition monitoring, using advanced mathematical models and thermal imaging techniques. Our work presents a comprehensive…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Daniel Menges , Florian Stadtmann , Henrik Jordheim , Adil Rasheed

The success of current Entity Alignment (EA) task depends largely on the supervision information provided by labeled data. Considering the cost of labeled data, most supervised methods are difficult to apply in practical scenarios.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Weishan Cai , Wenjun Ma , Yuncheng Jiang

Deep neural networks do not discriminate between spurious and causal patterns, and will only learn the most predictive ones while ignoring the others. This shortcut learning behaviour is detrimental to a network's ability to generalize to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-11 Thomas Duboudin , Emmanuel Dellandréa , Corentin Abgrall , Gilles Hénaff , Liming Chen

Artificial neural networks that learn to perform Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and related tasks using strictly local learning rules have been previously derived based on the principle of similarity matching: similar pairs of inputs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Victor Minden , Cengiz Pehlevan , Dmitri B. Chklovskii

Causal effect estimation from observational data is fundamental across various applications. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from dozens of specialized methods demands substantial manual effort and domain expertise. We present…

Active Test-Time Adaptation (ATTA) improves model robustness under domain shift by selectively querying human annotations at deployment, but existing methods use heuristic uncertainty measures and suffer from low data selection efficiency,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Tingyu Shi , Fan Lyu , Shaoliang Peng

This study investigates the estimation and the statistical inference about Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs), which have garnered attention as a metric representing individualized causal effects. In our data-generating process,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Masahiro Kato

For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

One of the challenges of predictive maintenance is making decisions based on data in an agile and assertive way. Connected sensors and operational data favor intelligent processing techniques to enrich information and enable…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Izaque Esteves , Regina Braga , José Maria David , Victor Stroele

We articulate the design imperatives for machine-learning based digital twins for nonlinear dynamical systems subject to external driving, which can be used to monitor the ``health'' of the target system and anticipate its future collapse.…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-10-13 Ling-Wei Kong , Yang Weng , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

In a sequential decision-making problem, having a structural dependency amongst the reward distributions associated with the arms makes it challenging to identify a subset of alternatives that guarantees the optimal collective outcome.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-27 Behzad Nourani-Koliji , Saeed Ghoorchian , Setareh Maghsudi

We consider the problem of inferring the directed, causal graph from observational data, assuming no hidden confounders. We take an information theoretic approach, and make three main contributions. First, we show how through algorithmic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-07 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

Knowledge driven discovery of novel materials necessitates the development of the causal models for the property emergence. While in classical physical paradigm the causal relationships are deduced based on the physical principles or via…

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

From ancient philosophers to modern economists, biologists, and other researchers, there has been a continuous effort to unveil causal relations. The most formidable challenge lies in deducing the nature of the causal relationship: whether…

Root Cause Analysis (RCA) is a quality management method that aims to systematically investigate and identify the cause-and-effect relationships of problems and their underlying causes. Traditional methods are based on the analysis of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-24 Lucas Possner , Lukas Bahr , Leonard Roehl , Christoph Wehner , Sophie Groeger

Discovering causal models from observational and interventional data is an important first step preceding what-if analysis or counterfactual reasoning. As has been shown before, the direction of pairwise causal relations can, under certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-01-04 Karamjit Singh , Garima Gupta , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff , Puneet Agarwal

Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) represent a paradigm shift in tabular data prediction. We present the principles of this new paradigm and evaluate two PFNs for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) of a binary treatment on a…