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The semiparametric estimation approach, which includes inverse-probability-weighted and doubly robust estimation using propensity scores, is a standard tool in causal inference, and it is rapidly being extended in various directions. On the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-29 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We study inference on a low-dimensional functional $\beta$ in the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. Classical inferential methods are typically based on Wald intervals, whose large-sample validity rests on asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Mengchu Zheng , Matteo Bonvini , Zijian Guo

The Influence Function (IF) is a widely used technique for assessing the impact of individual training samples on model predictions. However, existing IF methods often fail to provide reliable influence estimates in deep neural networks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Xichen Ye , Yifan Wu , Weizhong Zhang , Cheng Jin , Yifan Chen

Structure-agnostic causal inference studies how well one can estimate a treatment effect given black-box machine learning estimates of nuisance functions (like the impact of confounders on treatment and outcomes). Here, we find that the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Jikai Jin , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

Semiparametric inference on average causal effects from observational data is based on assumptions yielding identification of the effects. In practice, several distinct identifying assumptions may be plausible; an analyst has to make a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna , Juha Karvanen , Ingeborg Waernbaum

We study the problem of constructing an estimator of the average treatment effect (ATE) with observational data. The celebrated doubly-robust, augmented-IPW (AIPW) estimator generally requires consistent estimation of both nuisance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-13 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy , Oliver Dukes , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While consistency requires only one of two nuisance functions to be estimated consistently, asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Lars van der Laan , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

Recent work has raised concerns on the risk of spurious correlations and unintended biases in statistical machine learning models that threaten model robustness and fairness. In this paper, we propose a simple and intuitive regularization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Zhao Wang , Kai Shu , Aron Culotta

The World Wide Web thrives on intelligent services that rely on accurate time series classification, which has recently witnessed significant progress driven by advances in deep learning. However, existing studies face challenges in domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Xuan Tang , Haodong Jing , Mingyang Geng , Yongsheng Huang , Jialu Xu , Bin Zhang , Binwu Wang

Supervised machine learning models often associate irrelevant nuisance factors with the prediction target, which hurts generalization. We propose a framework for training robust neural networks that induces invariance to nuisances through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Ayush Jaiswal , Rob Brekelmans , Daniel Moyer , Greg Ver Steeg , Wael AbdAlmageed , Premkumar Natarajan

This paper develops a general causal inference method for treatment effects models with noisily measured confounders. The key feature is that a large set of noisy measurements are linked with the underlying latent confounders through an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-14 Yingjie Feng

The double/debiased machine learning (DML) framework has become a cornerstone of modern causal inference, allowing researchers to utilise flexible machine learning models for the estimation of nuisance functions without introducing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-19 Charles Shaw

Causal inference is central to statistics and scientific discovery, enabling researchers to identify cause-and-effect relationships beyond associations. While traditionally studied within Euclidean spaces, contemporary applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Bing Li , Xiao Wu , Lingzhou Xue

Robustness of deep neural networks to input noise remains a critical challenge, as naive noise injection often degrades accuracy on clean (uncorrupted) data. We propose a novel training framework that addresses this trade-off through two…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Hai-Vy Nguyen , Fabrice Gamboa , Sixin Zhang , Reda Chhaibi , Serge Gratton , Thierry Giaccone

We address the problem of causal effect estimation in the presence of unobserved confounding, but where proxies for the latent confounder(s) are observed. We propose two kernel-based methods for nonlinear causal effect estimation in this…

We propose a doubly robust estimator for the average treatment effect in high dimensional low sample size observational studies, where contamination and model misspecification pose serious inferential challenges. The estimator combines…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Byeonghee Lee , Sangwook Kang , Ju-Hyun Park , Saebom Jeon , Joonsung Kang

Use of machine learning to estimate nuisance functions (e.g. outcomes models, propensity score models) in estimators used in causal inference is increasingly common, as it can mitigate bias due to model misspecification. However, it can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-17 Rachael K. Ross , Lina M. Montoya , Dana E. Goin , Ivan Diaz , Audrey Renson

I propose a locally robust semiparametric framework for estimating causal effects using the popular examiner IV design, in the presence of many examiners and possibly many covariates relative to the sample size. The key ingredient of this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-01 Lonjezo Sithole

We establish a general statistical optimality theory for estimation problems where the target parameter is a linear functional of an unknown nuisance component that must be estimated from data. This formulation covers many causal and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis