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Environmental processes often exhibit complex, non-linear patterns and discontinuities across space and time, posing significant challenges for traditional geostatistical modeling approaches. In this paper, we propose a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Mario Figueira , Michela Cameletti , Luca Patelli

We investigate two options for performing Bayesian inference on spatial log-Gaussian Cox processes assuming a spatially continuous latent field: Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA). We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-20 Benjamin M. Taylor , Peter J. Diggle

Fitting spatio-temporal models for areal data is crucial in many fields such as cancer epidemiology. However, when data sets are very large, many issues arise. The main objective of this paper is to propose a general procedure to analyze…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-06 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to model seismic sequences and underpins Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). However, it remains challenging to assess the reliability of inverted ETAS parameters for a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-16 Mark Naylor , Francesco Serafini , Finn Lindgren , Ian Main

This paper introduces the R package INLAjoint, designed as a toolbox for fitting a diverse range of regression models addressing both longitudinal and survival outcomes. INLAjoint relies on the computational efficiency of the integrated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Denis Rustand , Janet van Niekerk , Elias Teixeira Krainski , Håvard Rue

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to address the challenge of spatial misalignment in spatio-temporal data obtained from in situ and satellite sources. The model is fit using the INLA-SPDE approach, which provides efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-10 Shiyu He , Samuel W. K. Wong

A Bayesian approach to predicting traffic flows at signalised intersections is considered using the the INLA framework. INLA is a deterministic, computationally efficient alternative to MCMC for estimating a posterior distribution. It is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-09 D. Townsend , C. Nel

Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM) offers many advantages such as principled uncertainty quantification, small-sample regularisation, and flexible model specification. However, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods on which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

The INLA package provides a tool for computationally efficient Bayesian modeling and inference for various widely used models, more formally the class of latent Gaussian models. It is a non-sampling based framework which provides…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-26 Janet van Niekerk , Haakon Bakka , Haavard Rue , Olaf Schenk

Bayesian hierarchical models are increasingly popular for realistic modelling and analysis of complex data. This trend is accompanied by the need for flexible, general, and computationally efficient methods for model criticism and conflict…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-02 Egil Ferkingstad , Leonhard Held , Håvard Rue

Geostatistical analysis of health data is increasingly used to model spatial variation in malaria prevalence, burden, and other metrics. Traditional inference methods for geostatistical modelling are notoriously computationally intensive,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Spencer Wong , Jennifer A. Flegg , Nick Golding , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi

Double hierarchical generalized linear models (DHGLM) are a family of models that are flexible enough as to model hierarchically the mean and scale parameters. In a Bayesian framework, fitting highly parameterized hierarchical models is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-20 Mabel Morales-Otero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Vicente Núñez-Antón

Bayesian inference often relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, particularly required for non-Gaussian data families. When dealing with complex hierarchical models, the MCMC approach can be computationally demanding in workflows…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Elias Krainski , Havard Rue

Cure models in survival analysis deal with populations in which a part of the individuals cannot experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models consider the target population as a mixture of susceptible and non-susceptible…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Elena Lázaro , Carmen Armero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio

The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

The INLA approach for approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models has been shown to give fast and accurate estimates of posterior marginals and also to be a valuable tool in practice via the R-package R-INLA. In this paper we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-02-21 Thiago G. Martins , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

The INLAMSM package for the R programming language provides a collection of multivariate spatial models for lattice data that can be used with package INLA for Bayesian inference. The multivariate spatial models include different structures…

Two-part joint models for a longitudinal semicontinuous biomarker and a terminal event have been recently introduced based on frequentist estimation. The biomarker distribution is decomposed into a probability of positive value and the…