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Causal inference on a population of units connected through a network often presents technical challenges, including how to account for interference. In the presence of local interference, for instance, potential outcomes of a unit depend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Laura Forastiere , Edoardo M. Airoldi , Fabrizia Mealli

In observational studies, researchers must select a method to control for confounding. Options include propensity score methods and regression. It remains unclear how dataset characteristics (size, overlap in propensity scores, exposure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 J. Wilkinson , M. A. Mamas , E. Kontopantelis

In the first stage of a two-stage study, the researcher uses a statistical model to impute the unobserved exposures. In the second stage, imputed exposures serve as covariates in epidemiological models. Imputation error in the first stage…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-19 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Jonathan D. Rosenblatt

It is often of interest to decompose a total effect of an exposure into the component that acts on the outcome through some mediator and the component that acts independently through other pathways. Said another way, we are interested in…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-21 Peng Ding , Tyler J. VanderWeele

Infectious zoonotic disease emergence, through spillover events, is of global concern and has the potential to cause significant harm to society, as recently demonstrated by COVID-19. More than 70% of the 400 infectious diseases that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-26 Maryam Golchin , Moreno Di Marco , Paul Horwood , Dean Paini , Andrew Hoskins , R. I. Hickson

Accurately estimating nonlinear audio effects without access to paired input-output signals remains a challenging problem. This work studies unsupervised probabilistic approaches for solving this task. We introduce a method, novel for this…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-25 Eloi Moliner , Michal Švento , Alec Wright , Lauri Juvela , Pavel Rajmic , Vesa Välimäki

Unmeasured confounding is a key challenge for causal inference. In this paper, we establish a framework for unmeasured confounding adjustment with negative control variables. A negative control outcome is associated with the confounder but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Wang Miao , Xu Shi , Yilin Li , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Researchers increasingly have access to two types of data: (i) large observational datasets where treatment (e.g., class size) is not randomized but several primary outcomes (e.g., graduation rates) and secondary outcomes (e.g., test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Susan Athey , Raj Chetty , Guido Imbens

Observational genome-wide association studies are now widely used for causal inference in genetic epidemiology. To maintain privacy, such data is often only publicly available as summary statistics, and often studies for the endogenous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Shimeng Huang , Niklas Pfister , Jack Bowden

In epidemiology, identifying the effect of exposure variables in relation to a time-to-event outcome is a classical research area of practical importance. Incorporating propensity score in the Cox regression model, as a measure to control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Yingrui Yang , Molin Wang

Estimating treatment effects in networks is challenging, as each potential outcome depends on the treatments of all other nodes in the network. To overcome this difficulty, existing methods typically impose an exposure mapping that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Maresa Schröder , Miruna Oprescu , Stefan Feuerriegel , Nathan Kallus

In this paper we develop a general framework for quantifying how binary risk factors jointly influence a binary outcome. Our key result is an additive expansion of odds ratios as a sum of marginal effects and interaction terms of varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-05 Ola Hössjer , Lars Alfredsson , Anna Karin Hedström , Magnus Lekman , Ingrid Kockum , Tomas Olsson

Latent confounders---unobserved variables that influence both treatment and outcome---can bias estimates of causal effects. In some cases, these confounders are shared across observations, e.g. all students taking a course are influenced by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Sam Witty , Kenta Takatsu , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Score-based methods, such as diffusion models and Bayesian inverse problems, are often interpreted as learning the data distribution in the low-noise limit ($\sigma \to 0$). In this work, we propose an alternative perspective: their success…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Xiang Li , Zebang Shen , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Niao He

Confounding by unmeasured spatial variables has received some attention in the spatial statistics and causal inference literatures, but concepts and approaches have remained largely separated. In this paper, we aim to bridge these distinct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-03 Patrick Schnell , Georgia Papadogeorgou

The increasing multiplicity of data sources offers exciting possibilities in estimating the effects of a treatment, intervention, or exposure, particularly if observational and experimental sources could be used simultaneously. Borrowing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-24 Jeffrey A. Boatman , David M. Vock , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

The presence of interference, where the outcome of an individual may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of neighboring nodes, can lead to biased causal effect estimation. Current approaches to network experiment design focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Zahra Fatemi , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Elena Zheleva

Despite the versatility of generalized linear mixed models in handling complex experimental designs, they often suffer from misspecification and convergence problems. This makes inference on the values of coefficients problematic. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Angela Andreella , Jelle Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

I establish primitive conditions for unconfoundedness in a coherent model that features heterogeneous treatment effects, spillovers, selection-on-observables, and network formation. I identify average partial effects under minimal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-30 Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li